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Over recent years `opportunity cost' (OC) models of growth have been constructed which suggest that firms take …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005666892
macroeconomic questions such as business cycles, growth, and policy. Particular attention is given to the ability of the model to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005792066
In this paper we develop a stochastic dynamic general equilibrium model of the Greek economy, in the real business cycle modelling tradition. Household preferences depend on private and public consumption and leisure. Government finances its investment, consumption and transfer payments by means...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005661696
This paper studies the role of credit in the business cycle, with a focus on private credit overhang. Based on a study of the universe of over 200 recession episodes in 14 advanced countries between 1870 and 2008, we document two key facts of the modern business cycle: financial-crisis...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009365001
Standard theory predicts that financial integration leads to a lower degree of business cycle synchronization. Surprisingly, cross-country studies find the opposite. Our contribution is to document the theoretically predicted negative effect of financial integration on business cycle...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005041098
This paper develops a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model with rational inattention. Households and decision-makers in firms have limited attention and decide how to allocate their attention. The paper studies the implications of rational inattention for business cycle dynamics. Impulse...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008468587
A canonical model is described which reflects the real-time informational context of decision-making. Comparisons are drawn with ‘conventional’ models that incorrectly omit market-informed insights on future macroeconomic conditions and inappropriately incorporate information that was not...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008528535
Fluctuations in firms' revenues reduce firms' viability and are costly from a social welfare point of view even when agents are risk neutral if (i) the decision to continue operating a firm is not efficient at the margin so that fluctuations shorten firms' life expectancy (because they increase...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008528536
This paper investigates the accuracy and heterogeneity of output growth and inflation forecasts during the current and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008530347
growth. Our discussion concludes that the latter is better in terms of simplicity, transparency, and consistency with banks … default (LGD), the multiplier would amount to a 6.5% surcharge for each standard deviation in GDP growth. The surcharge would …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004973964