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proposition in the context of FOMC policy decisions over the past 20 years using publicly available FOMC projections from the … biannual monetary policy reports to the Congress (Humphrey-Hawkins reports). Our results indicate that FOMC decisions can … indeed be predominantly explained in terms of the FOMC's own projections rather than observed outcomes. Thus, a forecast …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005124156
How does transparency, a key feature of central bank design, affect the deliberation of monetary policymakers? We exploit a natural experiment in the Federal Open Market Committee in 1993 together with computational linguistic models (particularly Latent Dirichlet Allocation) to measure the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011084486
Does global currency volume increase on days when the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meets? To test the … hypothesis of excess currency volume on FOMC days, we use a novel data set from the Continuous Linked Settlement (CLS) Bank. The … that trading volume increases in the order of 5% across currency areas on FOMC days during 2003 to 2007. This result holds …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005136771
In this paper we estimate ideal points of Bank Presidents and Board Governors at the FOMC. We use stated preferences … from FOMC transcipts and estimate a hierarchical spatial voting model. We find a clear difference between the average Board … point at the FOMC has been fairly stable over our sample period (1989-2007) emphasizing the lack of a political appointment …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011184080
exclusively upon contemporaneous sources, including the recently released transcripts of Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC …) meetings during 1979. We then present and discuss in detail the reasons for the FOMC’s adoption of the reform and the … inflation targeting. The record suggests that the reform was adopted when the FOMC became convinced that its earlier gradualist …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005792211
Since the 2008 global financial crisis, and after decades of relative neglect, the importance of the financial system and its episodic crises as drivers of macroeconomic outcomes has attracted fresh scrutiny from academics, policy makers, and practitioners. Theoretical advances are following a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011213304
We examine global dynamics under learning in New Keynesian models with price level targeting that is subject to the zero lower bound. The role of forward guidance is analyzed under transparency about the policy rule. Properties of transparent and non-transparent regimes are compared to each...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011213315
This paper uses a New Keynesian framework to study the coordination of fiscal and monetary policies, in response to an inflation shock when the policymaker acts with commitment. We first show that, in the simplest New Keynesian model, fiscal policy plays no part in the optimal policy response,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011276383
This paper studies a simple New-Keynesian model of fiscal and monetary policy coordination when the policymaker acts under commitment. With a New Keynesian Phillips curve it is optimal to control inflation only through the use of monetary policy. But, when price-setters use a Steinsson (2003)...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011276384
This paper reviews some of the most prominent asset price bubbles from the past 400 years and documents how central banks (or other institutions) reacted to those bubbles. The historical evidence suggests that the emergence of bubbles is often preceded or accompanied by an expansionary monetary...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011249380