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We examine the extent to which the profitability of the HML, SMB, and WML trading strategies can be linked to future GDP growth. Using a large cross-section of securities from ten developed markets, we find that the HML and SMB portfolios contain significant information about future GDP growth....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005791430
We study the investment behaviour of foreign investors in association with an equity market liberalization, and find a strong link between foreigners' trading and local market returns. In the period following the liberalization, foreigners' net purchases led to a permanent increase in prices, or...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005114153
momentum strategies. We construct domestic and global factors from a large dataset of macroeconomic and financial variables and … consumption variables drive dollar carry trade payoffs and momentum returns are driven by global commodity and U.S. inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011084700
-of-sample test of the performance of carry, momentum and value strategies well documented in the modern era. We find that the … positive carry and momentum returns in currencies over the last thirty years are also present in this earlier period. In … contrast, the returns to a simple value strategy are negative. In addition, we benchmark the rules-based carry and momentum …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011084602
variation in average returns on size-book/market portfolios and up to 95% of momentum returns and the pricing errors on both …Value and momentum portfolios exhibit strong opposite signed exposure to an aggregate risk factor based on low … momentum to the income shares of households in the top 10 versus bottom 90 percent of the stock wealth distribution. We use a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011145413
This analysis tests the price discovery relationship between sovereign CDS premia and bond yield spreads on the same reference entity. The theoretical no-arbitrage relationship between the two credit spreads is confronted with daily data from six Euro-area countries over the period 2004-2011. As...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009365646
International macro-finance is a new area of open economy macroeconomics that brings portfolio choice and asset pricing considerations into models of international macroeconomics. The importance of these considerations--typically relegated to Finance and largely overlooked in traditional...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008854462
We study the comovement among stock prices and among exchange rates in a three-good three-country Centre-Periphery dynamic equilibrium model in which the Centre’s agents face portfolio constraints. We characterize equilibrium in closed form for a broad class of portfolio constraints, solving...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005791401
This paper reconsiders the role of foreign investors in developed country equity markets. It presents a quantitative model of trading that is built around two new assumptions about investor sophistication: (i) both the foreign and domestic populations contain investors with superior information...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005791707
We use a simple model in which the expected returns in emerging markets depend on their systematic risk as measured by their beta relative to the world portfolio as well as on the level of integration in that market. The level of integration is a time-varying variable that depends on the market...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005123688