Showing 1 - 10 of 344
sovereign default premia, government consumption, and output. We find that whether austerity pays off depends on a) initial … premia in benign times. These findings pertain to the short run. Austerity always pays off in the long run, but particularly …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011168905
After the Global Financial Crisis a controversial rush to fiscal austerity followed in many countries. Yet research on … the effects of austerity on macroeconomic aggregates was and still is unsettled, mired by the difficulty of identifying … novel approach, we show that austerity is always a drag on growth, and especially so in depressed economies: a one percent …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011083942
We compare the output and unemployment effects of fiscal adjustments in different types of government outlays in the US, Canada, Japan, and the UK. We identify shocks in government consumption, investment, vacancies and government wages in a SVAR using sign restrictions extracted from a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011084631
In terms of macroeconomic performance, the Eurozone’s first decade is a story of successful inflation-targeting by the … not happen in the Eurozone appears to be related to the presence of non-rational wage-setters in a number of member …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011084267
We use realized variances and covariances based on intraday data from Eurozone sovereign bond market to measure the … dependence structure of eurozone sovereign yields. Our analysis focuses on the impact of news, obtained from the Eurointelligence …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011084398
In the evolving debate and analysis of global imbalances, a commonly overlooked issue pertains to rising protectionism. This paper attempts to fill that gap, examining the macroeconomic implications of trade policy changes through the lens of a dynamic general equilibrium model of the world...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005789140
The remarkable economic success of the United States in the 1990s led many observers to talk about a ‘New Economy’. This Paper provides an overview of the main issues, including faster productivity growth, the stability of inflation despite very low unemployment, the greater overall economic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005791585
The extreme levels of stock price volatility found during the Great Depression have often been attributed to political uncertainty. This Paper performs an explicit test of the Merton/Schwert hypothesis that doubts about the survival of the capitalist system were partly responsible. It does so by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005791692
We develop a five-region version (Canada, a group of oil exporting countries, the United States, emerging Asia and Japan plus the euro area) of the Global Economy Model (GEM) encompassing production and trade of crude oil, and use it to study the international transmission mechanism of shocks...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005792228
This paper reviews the background and key policy challenges of the current situation of the Spanish economy. It describes the strengths and weaknesses of Spain’s recent long growth cycle, the real and financial imbalances accumulated towards its end, and the troubles faced at the current...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008554220