A gravity model is used to assess the separate effects of exchange rate volatility and currency unions on international …

than the act of actually holding a mega-event. We develop a political economy model that formalizes this idea, and derives …

Multiple Cause (MIMIC) model. Our analysis is conducted on a cross-section of 107 countries; we focus on national causes and … consequences of the crisis, ignoring cross-country "contagion" effects. Our model of the incidence of the crisis combines 2008 …

Multiple Cause (MIMIC) model. Our analysis is conducted on a cross-section of 85 countries; we focus on international linkages … that may have allowed the crisis to spread across countries. Our model of the cross-country incidence of the crisis …

random walk model of stock prices performs as well as any estimated model at one to twelve month horizons, even though we …, aggregate stock prices seem to be as difficult to model empirically as exchange rates. …