Showing 1 - 10 of 928
Countries that have pursued distortionary macroeconomic policies, including high inflation, large budget deficits and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005136626
It is often argued that the EMS is an effective disciplinary device for inflation-prone countries in the EEC, since it …-makers in high-inflation countries: the reason is that not only it attaches an extra penalty to inflation (in terms of … inflationary finance, we find that they will always prefer EMS membership. When the policy-maker needs revenue from the inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005791653
Three of the most important recent facts in global macroeconomics - the sustained rise in the US current account deficit, the stubborn decline in long run real rates, and the rise in the share of US assets in global portfolio - appear as anomalies from the perspective of conventional wisdom and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005666722
The foreign exchange risk premium in an exchange rate target-zone regime with devaluation/realignment risks is derived. In contrast to previous literature, the exchange rate's heteroscedasticity within the band, as well as a separate devaluation/realignment risk, is taken into account. The risk...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005788869
Recent research in financial economics has concentrated on the role of non-economic, or non-fundamentalist, speculators in asset markets. This paper presents some empirical evidence concerning the nature and perceived importance of a major form of non-fundamentalist analysis, chartism, in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005281398
We assess the progress made by the profession in understanding real exchange rate behaviour, through a selective and critical but nonetheless expository review of the literature. Our reading of the literature leads us to the main conclusions that purchasing power parity might be viewed as a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005662032
the primary deficit with future values of inflation, interest rates, GDP and narrow money growth and changes in the … through adjustments in the primary deficit (80-100%), with less substantial roles being played by inflation (0-10%) and GDP … growth (0-20%). Focusing on the relation between fiscal imbalances and inflation suggests extremely modest interactions. This …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005497882
issue only nominal non-contingent bonds we examine the implications for optimal inflation of changes in the level and … given. We identify the main mechanisms through which inflation is affected by debt and debt maturity (a real balance effect … monetary and fiscal policy we find that the persistence and volatility of inflation depends on the sign, size and maturity …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011083281
In mid-2008, the real effective exchange rate of the dollar was close to its minimum level for the past 4 decades. At the same time, however, the U.S. trade and current account deficits remain large and, absent a significant correction in coming years, would contribute to a further accumulation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005662389
Using vector autoregressions on U.S. time series relative to an aggregate of industrialized countries, this paper provides new evidence on the dynamic effects of government spending and technology shocks on the real exchange rate and the terms of trade. To achieve identification, we derive...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008468685