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Conventional wisdom holds that protectionism is counter-cyclic; tariffs, quotas and the like grow during recessions. While that may have been a valid description of the data before the Second World War, it is no longer accurate. In the post-war era, protectionism has not actually moved...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011083599
To generate big responses of unemployment to productivity changes, researchers have reconfigured matching models in … introducing costly acquisition of credit, or by positing government mandated unemployment compensation and layoff costs. All of … these redesigned matching models increase responses of unemployment to movements in productivity by diminishing the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011201357
This paper develops a theory characterizing the effects of fiscal policy on unemployment over the business cycle. The … theory is based on a model of equilibrium unemployment in which jobs are rationed in recessions. Fiscal policy in the form of … government spending on public-sector jobs reduces unemployment, especially during recessions: the fiscal multiplier …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009324257
doubles when unemployment rises from 5% to 8%. Theoretically, such countercyclicality arises because of a nonlinearity, namely … in recessions but large in expansions. Hence, government consumption reduces unemployment much more in recessions than in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011083889
Recessions often happen after periods of rapid accumulation of houses, consumer durables and business capital. This observation has led some economists, most notably Friedrich Hayek, to conclude that recessions mainly reflect periods of needed liquidation resulting from past over-investment....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011084219
This paper examines the relation between individual unemployment durations and incidence on the one hand, and the time … currently unemployed. We also allow for the composition of the inflow into unemployment to depend on calendar time at the moment … aggregate unemployment duration data, in which we allow for unobserved heterogeneity and correlated measurement errors. We do …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005123747
France, Germany, the United Kingdom and the United States - which any theory of unemployment ought to explain. The … business cycles. Key results are: flows into and out of unemployment are countercyclical; these flows move tightly together …, over both the cycle and the long run; the bulk of exits from unemployment actually represent job findings rather than exits …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005656267
Climate change must deal with two market failures, global warming and learning by doing in renewable use. The social optimum requires an aggressive renewables subsidy in the near term and a gradually rising carbon tax which falls in long run. As a result, more renewables are used relative to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011084685
We use the Euler equation to put forward a back-on-the-envelope rule for the global carbon tax based on a two-box carbon cycle with temperature lag, and a constant elasticity of marginal damages with respect to GDP. This tax falls with time impatience and intergenerational inequality aversion...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011096102
Although oil price shocks have long been viewed as one of the leading candidates for explaining U.S. recessions, surprisingly little is known about the extent to which oil price shocks explain recessions. We provide the first formal analysis of this question with special attention to the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011083465