Showing 1 - 10 of 216
This paper proposes a new approach for modeling investor fear after rare disasters. The key element is to take into account that investors' information about fundamentals driving rare downward jumps in the dividend process is not perfect. Bayesian learning implies that beliefs about the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009201120
to farmer investment is uninsured risk: when provided with insurance against the primary catastrophic risk they face … basis risk associated with the index insurance, and with imperfect trust that promised payouts will be delivered. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011083318
between risk and uncertainty is implemented by applying the Gilboa-Schmeidler maxmin with multiple priors framework to lenders …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009144737
We analyse bidding behaviour in auctions when risk-averse buyers bid for a good whose value is risky. We show that when … risk in the valuations increases, DARA bidders will reduce their bids by more than the appropriate increase in the risk … marginal utility of income increases with risk, so buyers are reluctant to bid so highly. We also show that precautionary …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005114473
The paper reports the result of an experimental game on asset integration and risk taking. We find evidence that … winnings in earlier rounds affect risk taking in subsequent rounds, but no evidence that real life wealth outside the … experiment affects risk taking. We find some evidence of imitation of the risk taking behavior of others that is distinct from …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011084146
This paper studies regimes of managed exchange rates for a small open economy with an integrated capital market, rational expectations in financial markets, sluggish nominal wages and prices, and supply shocks that follow a Brownian motion. Each regime can be characterized by the degree to which...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005136404
Most model builders continue to treat their models as deterministic when forecasting, despite the fact that these models are composed of equations which are stochastic in nature. Deterministic solution methods ignore the stochastic information on the model structure and in addition produce...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005498087
We look for a theoretical justification of nominal wage contracts in household diversification of risk. We assume it is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005789213
We partnered with a micro-lender in Mali to randomize credit offers at the village level. Then, in no-loan control villages, we gave cash grants to randomly selected households. These grants led to higher agricultural investments and profits, thus showing that liquidity constraints bind with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011083397
In an experiment providing fertilizer grants to women rice farmers in Mali, we found that women who received fertilizer increased both the quantity of fertilizer they used on their plots and complementary inputs such as herbicides and hired labor. This highlights that farmers respond to an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011083496