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able to generate fragile equilibria. For instance, in this literature the natural unemployment rate is allowed to shift … over time depending on past unemployment. Actually, many European unemployment series seem to exhibit a unit root or … persistence. This view is questioned in the paper using German data on unemployment. A new class of time-series models, the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005666959
of unemployment is affected by the inflation rate. Looking at four countries, France, Germany, the Netherlands and … Switzerland, the Paper reports some preliminary evidence that the long-run rate of unemployment is a non-linear function of … ‘grease’ to the price and wage setting process. In particular, the long-run rate of unemployment is found to reach a maximum …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005791256
A central tenet of inflation targeting is that establishing and maintaining well-anchored inflation expectations are essential. In this paper, we reexamine the role of key elements of the inflation targeting framework towards this end, in the context of an economy where economic agents have an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005791794
policymakers at the time both had an overly optimistic view of the natural rate of unemployment and put a high priority on …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008468541
Spanish manufacturing firms, the paper finds sunk costs hysteresis in entry and exit to be an important factor in determining … much larger than the costs of exiting the market. Finally, although hysteresis exists, its effect on the responsiveness of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005504782
This paper presents an empirical examination of the importance of hysteresis in international trade. An econometric … model of export determination is developed where the presence of sunk costs causes discontinuous behaviour and hysteresis so … States. The paper finds strong evidence in favour of the presence of pricing-to-market and hysteresis only in the case of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005497929
This paper fully characterizes the optimal control of a recurrent infectious disease through the use of (non-vaccine) prevention and treatment. The dynamic system may admit multiple steady states and the optimal policy may be path dependent. We find that an optimal path cannot end at a point...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011083552
This paper provides a model of "social hysteresis," whereby long, deep recessions demotivate workers and thereby lead …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011084645
hysteresis arises following large shocks to unemployment, but not following small changes. These results pose a challenge to …This paper is an empirical investigation of unemployment rate series in 17 countries. The timing and size of shifts in … the mean rate of unemployment are estimated. The size of the shifts and the remaining persistence in the unemployment rate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005067463
first-order hysteresis band. Consequently uncovered interest parity does not hold and market-efficiency tests based on it …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005661611