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The efficient markets hypothesis implies that, in the presence of rational investors, bubbles cannot develop. We …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005136583
Major bubble episodes are rare events. In this paper, we examine what factors might cause some asset price bubbles to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011083988
The returns of short-term reversal strategies in equity markets can be interpreted as a proxy for the returns from liquidity provision. Analysis of reversal strategies shows that the expected return from liquidity provision is strongly time-varying and highly predictable with the VIX index....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011084170
Can banks maintain their advantage as liquidity providers when they are heavily exposed to a financial crisis? The standard argument - that banks can - hinges on deposit inflows that are seeking a safe haven and provide banks with a natural hedge to fund drawn credit lines and other commitments....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009399713
We study the functioning and possible breakdown of the interbank market in the presence of counterparty risk. We allow banks to have private information about the risk of their assets. We show how banks' asset risk affects funding liquidity in the interbank market. Several interbank market...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008530367
A regulator resolving a bank faces two audiences: depositors, who may run if they believe the regulator will not provide capital, and banks, which may take excess risk if they believe the regulator will provide capital. When the regulator's cost of injecting capital is private information, it...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011084160
We measure the repo funding extended by money market funds (MMF) and securities lenders to the shadow banking system, including quantities, haircuts, and repo rates by type of underlying collateral. We find that repo played only a small role in funding private sector assets prior to the crisis,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011084360
This paper takes the view that a major contributing factor to the financial crisis of 2008 was a failure to correctly assess and price the risk of default. In order to analyse default risk in the macroeconomy, a simple general equilibrium model with banks and financial intermediation is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009293986
We examine the pricing of financial crash insurance during the 2007-2009 financial crisis in U.S. option markets. A large amount of aggregate tail risk is missing from the price of financial sector crash insurance during the financial crisis. The difference in costs of out-of-the-money put...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011083289
Crowding-out during the British Industrial Revolution has long been one of the leading explanations for slow growth during the Industrial Revolution, but little empirical evidence exists to support it. We argue that examinations of interest rates are fundamentally misguided, and that the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005504267