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The global financial crisis of 2008-09 has sent public debt on sharply higher trajectories. With the economic recovery gradually taking hold, the focus is now shifting to fiscal "exit" strategies. Medium-term consolidation efforts are likely to include not only tax increases but also sizeable...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008468677
This paper analyzes the impact of strained government finances on macroeconomic stability and the transmission of fiscal policy. Using a variant of the model by Curdia and Woodford (2009), we study a 'sovereign risk channel' through which sovereign default risk raises funding costs in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011083641
Does the fiscal multiplier depend on the exchange rate regime and, if so, how strongly? To address this question, we …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011083977
This Paper studies equilibrium asset pricing with liquidity risk (the risk arising from unpredictable changes in … liquidity over time). It is shown that the required return on a security depends on its expected illiquidity, the covariances of … its own return, illiquidity with market return, and market illiquidity. This gives rise to a liquidity-adjusted capital …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005067543
The impact of fiscal stimulus depends not only on short-term tax and spending policies, but also on expectations about offsetting measures in the future. This paper analyzes the effects of an increase in government spending under a plausible debt-stabilizing policy that systematically reduces...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004976796
Renewed interest in fiscal policy has increased the use of quantitative models to evaluate policy. Because of modeling uncertainty, it is essential that policy evaluations be robust to alternative assumptions. We find that models currently being used in practice to evaluate fiscal policy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004961429
This paper studies how the effects of government spending vary with the economic environment. Using a panel of OECD countries, we identify fiscal shocks as residuals from an estimated spending rule and trace their macroeconomic impact under different conditions regarding the exchange rate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011083665
This paper presents a simple macroeconomic model where government spending affects aggregate demand directly and indirectly, through an expectational channel. Prices are fully flexible and the model is static, so intertemporal issues play no role. There are three important elements in the model:...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011083612
This paper gives money a role in providing cheap collateral in a model of banking; this means that, besides the Taylor Rule, monetary policy can affect the risk-premium on bank lending to firms by varying the supply of M0 in open market operations, so that even when the zero bound prevails...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011084208
Using firm-level data, we provide evidence that, although monetary policy affects real investment, the effect operates differentially: the greater its export intensity the less a firm is affected by tight money. We examine several interpretations and conclude that the impact is transmitted...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005504673