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reduce the budget deficit and lower the underlying rate of inflation. The paper develops an input-output model to investigate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005497844
Previous time-series studies have shown evidence of mean-reversion in real exchange rates. Deviations from purchasing power parity (PPP) appear to have half-lives of approximately four years. The long samples required for statistical significance are unavailable for most currencies, however, and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005498061
fixes, a reasonably durable regime. However, most of the new stability is due to countries that float with an inflation … target. Though a few have left to join the Eurozone, no country has yet abandoned an inflation targeting regime under duress …. Inflation targeting now represents a serious alternative to a hard exchange rate fix for small economies seeking monetary …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011083734
. We explore the ability of a model with a global factor and three regional ones to capture inflation dynamics across 25 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011186627
accommodation and zero accommodation of inflation differentials. To what extent, however, does the new freedom of capital movements …-looking behaviour in labour and financial markets to analyse this question. A rule which partially accommodates inflation differentials … is shown to be consistent with inflation convergence and perfect capital mobility, provided that the timing of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005791318
How much of carry trade excess returns can be explained by the presence of disaster risk? To answer this question, we propose a simple structural model that includes both Gaussian and disaster risk premia and can be estimated even in samples that do not contain disasters. The model points to a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005016245
While the global financial crisis was centered in the United States, it led to a surprising appreciation in the dollar, suggesting global dollar illiquidity. In response, the Federal Reserve partnered with other central banks to inject dollars into the international financial system. Empirical...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009293988
This paper surveys the evidence on the effectiveness of monetary transmission in developing countries. We summarize the arguments for expecting the bank lending channel to be the dominant means of monetary transmission in such countries, and present a simple model that suggests why this channel...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009322980
This paper examines the relationship between fiscal policy and the current account, drawing on a larger country sample than in previous studies and using panel regressions, vector auto-regressions, and an analysis of large fiscal and external adjustments. On average, a strengthening in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008468562
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004971415