Showing 1 - 10 of 448
This paper studies the role of unemployment in sterling’s inter-war experience. According to most narrative accounts …, the proximate cause of the 1931 sterling crisis was a high and rising unemployment rate that placed pressure on British … currency crises, highlights the conflict between the objective of low unemployment and defence of the currency and show that it …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005792142
This paper develops a theory characterizing the effects of fiscal policy on unemployment over the business cycle. The … theory is based on a model of equilibrium unemployment in which jobs are rationed in recessions. Fiscal policy in the form of … government spending on public-sector jobs reduces unemployment, especially during recessions: the fiscal multiplier …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009324257
This paper examines the relation between individual unemployment durations and incidence on the one hand, and the time … currently unemployed. We also allow for the composition of the inflow into unemployment to depend on calendar time at the moment … aggregate unemployment duration data, in which we allow for unobserved heterogeneity and correlated measurement errors. We do …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005123747
This paper constructs a theoretical model to study the effects on employment of the introduction of flexible labour contracts (i.e. with low firing costs), which occurred in many European countries in the 1980s, which it then tests on Spanish data. The model predicts that such contracts increase...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005504305
France, Germany, the United Kingdom and the United States - which any theory of unemployment ought to explain. The … business cycles. Key results are: flows into and out of unemployment are countercyclical; these flows move tightly together …, over both the cycle and the long run; the bulk of exits from unemployment actually represent job findings rather than exits …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005656267
doubles when unemployment rises from 5% to 8%. Theoretically, such countercyclicality arises because of a nonlinearity, namely … in recessions but large in expansions. Hence, government consumption reduces unemployment much more in recessions than in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011083889
Recessions often happen after periods of rapid accumulation of houses, consumer durables and business capital. This observation has led some economists, most notably Friedrich Hayek, to conclude that recessions mainly reflect periods of needed liquidation resulting from past over-investment....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011084219
To generate big responses of unemployment to productivity changes, researchers have reconfigured matching models in … introducing costly acquisition of credit, or by positing government mandated unemployment compensation and layoff costs. All of … these redesigned matching models increase responses of unemployment to movements in productivity by diminishing the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011201357
has been a worsening in the trade-off between unemployment and inflation. The poor unemployment/inflation trade-off is due … to the neglect of skill training and education (causing skill shortages) and to the build-up of long-term unemployment …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005666884
determine local wages and unemployment; when mobility between regions is obstructed by rent subsidies and controls, unemployment … and wage differentials arise. Because unemployment benefits set a floor beneath the supply price of labor, as these … differentials rise, so too does the national unemployment rate (in declining regions unemployment is the major response, in growing …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005791648