which there are multiple equilibrium unemployment rates. The model has two equations in common with the new-Keynesian model …

Inflation is a far from homogeneous phenomenon, a fact often neglected in modelling consumer price inflation. This … study, the first of its kind for an emerging market country, investigates gains to inflation forecast accuracy by …

Monetary policy affects both real variables, such as employment, unemployment and output and nominal variables such as … nominal interest and inflation rates. For close to a decade the principal focus of monetary policy has been on inflation … consideration, but at other times inflation control has been the major objective. We argue that this concentration on inflation has …

. The model identifies a measure of “pure” inflation: the common component in goods’ inflation rates that has an … equiproportional effect on all prices and is uncorrelated with relative price changes at all dates. The estimates of pure inflation and … pure inflation accounts for 15-20% of the variability in overall inflation, so that most changes in inflation are …

Central banks throughout the world predict inflation with new-Keynesian models where, after a shock, the unemployment …

We extend the `rational-partisan' model of inflation to allow for the effects of unemployment persistence on the … dynamics of inflation. We combine this model with the `exchange-rate-regime' model of inflation and examine the experience of … the United Kingdom. Outside the fixed exchange rate regime of Bretton Woods, persistently high inflation can be attributed …

This paper explores the interrelation between the degree of unemployment persistence and the unemployment … unemployment and making unemployment less persistent, the less effective will be the growth-promoting supply-side policies (such as … training schemes) in reducing unemployment. …

Models for the twelve-month-ahead US rate of inflation, measured by the chain weighted consumer expenditure deflator … prices; introducing non-linearities to proxy state dependence in the inflation process; and replacing the information …

Inflation targeting central banks will be hampered without good models to assist them to be forward-looking. Many … current inflation models fail to forecast turning points adequately, because they miss key underlying long-run influences. The … world is on the cusp of a dramatic turning point in inflation. If inflation falls rapidly, such models can underestimate the …