Using high-quality administrative data, I analyze workers' opportunity costs of reallocation across occupations by measuring the additional time spent in unemployment before being hired in a new occupation. Furthermore, I inspect the wage changes after reallocation and find that workers who...

In this paper we examine how employment and hiring processes develop in the course of digitalisation in German establishments. To this end we use a large representative business survey - the IAB Job Vacancy Survey - that was extended in 2015 to include special questions about the state of...

We estimate spatially heterogeneous effects of the COVID-19 pandemic on labour market dynamics in Germany until December 2021. While initially slightly larger in rural regions, adverse effects quickly become more pronounced and persistent in large agglomerations. We ascribe the larger impact of...

This paper analyzes the importance of time aggregation in the measurement of worker flows by exploiting daily information from German administrative data. Time aggregation caused by comparing monthly labor market states leads to an underestimation of total worker flows by around 10%. Contrary to...

Does the low wage sector serve as a stepping stone towards integration into better-paid jobs or at least towards integration of jobless people into employment? There is evidence for a 'low-wage trap' and for a high risk of low-wage earners to get unemployed, but this may also be due to sorting...

We analyse the role that education signals play in the transition rates from unemployment to finding a job. We compare the results for Ethnic Germans with those for foreigners from the same origin countries and Native Germans. In the first case, the two have the same labour market access but...

There is a growing chorus of policy analysts and pundits telling the country that we could have millions more jobs in manufacturing, if only we had qualified workers. This claim has the interesting feature that it places responsibility for the lack of jobs on workers, not on the people who get...

The current low participation rate of low-skilled workers in vocational re-training ac-tivities as well as the relatively high share of youth without vocational qualification are major challenges for German labour market policies. Recently implemented pro-grams by the Federal Employment Service...

This paper analyzes whether startups offer job opportunities to workers potentially facing labor market problems. It compares the hiring patterns of startups and incum-bents in the period 2003 to 2014 using administrative linked employer-employee data for Germany that allow to take the complete...

Using the example of short-term forecasts for German employment figures, the article at hand examines the question whether the use of disaggregated information increases the forecast accuracy of the aggregate. For this purpose, the out-ofsample forecasts for the aggregated employment forecast...