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Forecasting GDP All Over the World Using Leading Indicators Based on Comprehensive Survey Data
Garnitz, Johanna - 2019
Comprehensive and international comparable leading indicators across countries and continents are rare. In this paper, we use a free and instantaneous available source of leading indicators, the ifo World Economic Survey (WES), to forecast growth of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in 44 countries...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012867868
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Predictive ability of business cycle indicators under test: A case study for the euro area industrial production
Carstensen, Kai; Wohlrabe, Klaus; Ziegler, Christina - 2010
to forecasting area-wide industrial production. To this end, we use various tests that are designed to compare competing …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010270868
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Forecasting large datasets with reduced rank multivariate models
Carriero, Andrea; Kapetanios, George; Marcellino, … - 2007
The paper addresses the issue of forecasting a large set of variables using multivariate models. In particular, we … propose three alternative reduced rank forecasting models and compare their predictive performance with the most promising …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010284099
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Forecasting government bond yields with large Bayesian VARs
Carriero, Andrea; Kapetanios, George; Marcellino, … - 2010
We propose a new approach to forecasting the term structure of interest rates, which allows to efficiently extract the … forecasting performance of our proposed model relative to most of the existing alternative specifications. While most of the … useful for forecasting. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010286274