We develop a simple model of managing a system subject to pollution damage under risk of an abrupt and random jump in the damage coefficient. The model allows the full dynamic characterization of the optimal emission policies under uncertainty. The results, that imply prudent behavior due to...

Kriging (or Gaussian Process) metamodels may be analyzed through bootstrapping, which is a versatile statistical method but must be adapted to the speci.c problem being analyzed. More precisely, a random or discrete-event simulation may be run several times for the same scenario (combination of...