This paper estimates a time-varying AR-GARCH model of inflation producing measures of inflation uncertainty for the … policy regime change associated with the start of EMU in 1999. The main findings are as follows. Steady-state inflation and … inflation uncertainty have declined steadily since the inception of EMU, whilst short-run uncertainty has increased, mainly …

-shaped relation between the membership size of MPCs and inflation; our results suggest that the lowest level of inflation is reached … at MPCs with about seven to ten members. Similar results are obtained for other measures, such as inflation variability …

to the share of the term in office elapsed, political and regime instability, the occurrence of elections, and inflation … independence. This is confirmed in models for cross-section inflation in which TOR becomes insignificant once its endogeneity is …