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accompanied by clear signs of severe autocorrelation in their residuals. A conscientious researcher would therefore not end an … investigation with such a result, but would likely re-estimate with an autocorrelation correction. Simulations show, for several …
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In this paper we study the determinants of international migration to Germany, 1967-2000. The empirical literature on macro-economic migration functions usually explains migration flows by a set of explanatory variables such as the income differential, employment rates, and migrations stocks as...
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1970:1.2012:2. These nonlinear models capture the autocorrelation structure of the inflation series as accurately as their …
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We propose a noncausal autoregressive model with time-varying parameters, and apply it to U.S. postwar inflation. The model .fits the data well, and the results suggest that inflation persistence follows from future expectations. Persistence has declined in the early 1980.s and slightly...
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