Showing 1 - 10 of 46
Regarding a prospective reform of the European Stability and Growth Pact (SGP) it seems rather consensual that a … growth rule as single operational indicator linked to a debt anchor. Compared to the status quo, our analysis suggests that … expenditure growth targets which take account of the ECB’s symmetric 2% inflation target can improve the cyclical properties of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013297106
In this paper, we examine the performance and robustness of optimised interest-rate rules in four models of the euro area which differ considerably in terms of size, degree of aggregation, relevance of forward-looking behavioural elements and adherence to micro-foundations. Our findings are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604525
In this paper, we examine the cost of insurance against model uncertainty for the Euro area considering four alternative reference models, all of which are used for policy-analysis at the ECB. We find that maximal insurance across this model range in terms of a Minimax policy comes at moderate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604526
We study how the use of judgement or “add-factors” in macroeconomic forecasting may disturb the set of equilibrium outcomes when agents learn using recursive methods. We isolate conditions under which new phenomena, which we call exuberance equilibria, can exist in standard macroeconomic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604601
In this paper, we study Ramsey-optimal fiscal and monetary policy in a mediumscale model of the U.S. business cycle. The model features a rich array of real and nominal rigidities that have been identified in the recent empirical literature as salient in explaining observed aggregate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604658
This paper studies optimal discretionary monetary policy in the presence of uncertainty about the degree of financial frictions. Changes in the degree of financial frictions are modelled as changes in parameters of a hybrid New-Keynesian model calibrated for the UK, following Bean, Larsen and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604685
The monetary integration of the acceding countries will proceed in several distinct steps, starting with membership in the European Union (EU), followed by participation in the so-called Exchange Rate Mechanism (ERM) II and ultimately entry into the euro area. This paper addresses the question...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604710
The EMU accession countries are obliged to fulfill the Maastricht convergence criteria prior to entering the EMU. This paper uses a DSGE model of a two-sector small open economy, to address the following question: How do the Maastricht convergence criteria modify optimal monetary policy in an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604942
This paper attempts at characterising South Korean monetary policy in the period of explicit inflation targeting started in 1999. We explain Korean interest rates in relation to an estimated macro-model, assuming that monetary policy is set optimally. This allows us to obtain the central...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605050
While consumption habits have been utilised as a means of generating a hump shaped output response to monetary policy shocks in sticky-price New Keynesian economies, there is relatively little analysis of the impact of habits (particularly, external habits) on optimal policy. In this paper we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605122