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Does government spending crowd in private consumption? Theory and empirical evidence for the euro area

Coenen, Günter; Straub, Roland - 2005

In this paper, we revisit the effects of government spending shocks on private consumption within an estimated New-Keynesian DSGE model of the euro area featuring non-Ricardian households. Employing Bayesian inference methods, we show that the presence of non-Ricardian households is in general...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604559

Fiscal convergence before entering the EMU

Onorante, Luca - 2006

The monetary integration of the acceding countries will proceed in several distinct steps, starting with membership in the European Union (EU), followed by participation in the so-called Exchange Rate Mechanism (ERM) II and ultimately entry into the euro area. This paper addresses the question...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604710

Tax reform and labour-market performance in the euro area: a simulation-based analysis using the New Area-Wide Model

Coenen, Günter; McAdam, Peter; Straub, Roland - 2007

at the European Central Bank to examine the potential benefits and spillovers of reducing labour-market distortions … caused by euro area tax structures. Our analysis shows that lowering tax distortions to levels prevailing in the United … States would result in an increase in hours worked and output by more than 10 percent. At the same time, tax reductions would …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604793

What do we really know about fiscal sustainability in the EU? A panel data diagnostic

Afonso, António; Rault, Christophe - 2007

We assess the sustainability of public finances in the EU15 over the period 1970-2006 using stationarity and cointegration analysis. Specifically, we use panel unit root tests of the first and second generation allowing in some cases for structural breaks. We also apply modern panel...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604866

Fiscal consolidation in the euro area: long-run benefits and short-run costs.

Coenen, Günter; Mohr, Matthias; Straub, Roland - 2008

In this paper, we examine the macroeconomic effects of alternative fiscal consolidation policies in the New Area-Wide Model (NAWM), a two-country open-economy model of the euro area developed at the European Central Bank (cf. Coenen et al., 2007). We model fiscal consolidation as a permanent...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604948

Globalisation and the euro area: simulation based analysis using the New Area Wide Model

Straub, Roland; Jacquinot, Pascal - 2008

labour markets would amplify the benefits associated with globalisation. …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604953

What explains the surge in euro area sovereign spreads during the financial crisis of 2007-09?

Attinasi, Maria-Grazia; Checherita-Westphal, Cristina; … - 2009

This paper uses a dynamic panel approach to explain the determinants of widening sovereign bond yield spreads vis-à-vis Germany in selected euro area countries during the period end-July 2007 to end-March 2009, when the financial turmoil developed into a full-blown financial and economic...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605177

Fiscal policy shocks in the euro area and the US: an empirical assessment

Burriel, Pablo; de Castro Fernández, Francisco; … - 2009

We analyse the impact of fiscal policy shocks in the euro area as a whole, using a newly available quarterly dataset of fiscal variables for the period 1981-2007. To allow for comparability with previous results on euro area countries and the US, we use a standard structural VAR framework, and...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605179

Is there a signalling role for public wages? Evidence for the euro area based on macro data

Pérez, Javier J.; Sánchez, Jesús - 2010

Do public sector wages exert pressures on private sector wages, or has the private sector a leadership role in wage setting? This paper tries to isolate the pure signalling effect that one sector might exert on the other by controlling for other determinants of wages (prices, productivity,...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605194

Global policy at the zero lower bound in a large-scale DSGE model

Gomes, Sandra; Jacquinot, Pascal; Mestre, Ricardo; … - 2010

The purpose of this paper is to analyse whether fiscal policies can alleviate the effects of the zero lower bound (ZLB) on interest rates and if they should be coordinated internationally. The analysis is carried out using EAGLE, a DSGE model of the global economy. We consider that the fiscal...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605300