Showing 1 - 10 of 14
We study the effect of tax policy on stock market returns in the United States, Germany, and the United Kingdom using … GARCH models and a unique daily dataset of legislative tax changes during the period 1 December 1978 to 31 January 2018. We … find that days of discretionary tax legislation during all stages of the process often matter for returns, both in terms of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012543679
Recent macro developments in the euro area have highlighted the interactions between fiscal policy, sovereign debt, and financial fragility. We take a structural macroeconomic model with frictions in the financial intermediation process, in line with recent research, but introduce asset choice...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010326246
Conventional wisdom teaches that the output response upon a fiscal expansion is higher under fixed than floating exchange rates for a small open economy. We analyse the effects of fiscal expansions using a New Keynesian model and find that this result reverses in times of sovereign default risk....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010328326
of tax changes on consumption and savings; and 4) the effect of tax changes on labour market activities. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010335867
A widespread view in the 'political budget cycles' literature is that incumbent politicians seek to influence voters' perceptions of their competence and/or preferences by using the composition of the fiscal budget as a signalling tool. However, little is known about whether voters actually...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012208400
Employing a sample of Spanish municipalities from the Madrid region for the period 2010-2019, we study the influence of a politician's sex on political budget cycles (PBCs). The Madrid region is subject to a homogenous set of budget rules, which allows consistently categorising budget...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013338765
We study state-dependent effects of narratively identified tax shocks in Germany and the UK over the period 1974Q1 …-2018Q4 using local projections. In addition, we distinguish between aggregated and disaggregated tax types (direct and … indirect taxes) as well as look for possible asymmetries between tax hikes and tax cuts. We find a number of differences across …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012653874
I study the spill-over effects of legislated discretionary tax changes in the United States, Germany, and the United … spillovers from US tax legislation to have the smallest effects on Eurozone countries' real GDP and UK tax changes to exert the … largest effect. There is substantial heterogeneity in both the sign and size of spillovers after US and German aggregated tax …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012653882
We study the announcement effect of legislated tax changes on GDP in the US, Germany, and the UK. Using, as the shock … of interest, narratively identified information (Romer & Romer, 2009) about future tax changes at the quarter of their …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012653883
Since most macroeconomic data are revised after the initial release both researchers and policy-makers have no choice rather than recognising and understanding the revisions. This paper analyses revisions to the fiscal data in the euro area, also by contrasting them with the 'better-understood'...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013368006