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The short-term impact of government budgets on prices: evidence from macroeconomic models

Henry, Jérôme; Hernández de Cos, Pablo; Momigliano, … - 2004

This paper reviews the existing empirical evidence on the short-term impact on prices of fiscal variables and assesses it against new results from harmonised simulations, conducted with six well-established econometric models used by the ECB and five national central banks (NCBs) of the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604442

Does government spending crowd in private consumption? Theory and empirical evidence for the euro area

Coenen, Günter; Straub, Roland - 2005

In this paper, we revisit the effects of government spending shocks on private consumption within an estimated New-Keynesian DSGE model of the euro area featuring non-Ricardian households. Employing Bayesian inference methods, we show that the presence of non-Ricardian households is in general...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604559

Tax reform and labour-market performance in the euro area: a simulation-based analysis using the New Area-Wide Model

Coenen, Günter; McAdam, Peter; Straub, Roland - 2007

at the European Central Bank to examine the potential benefits and spillovers of reducing labour-market distortions … caused by euro area tax structures. Our analysis shows that lowering tax distortions to levels prevailing in the United … States would result in an increase in hours worked and output by more than 10 percent. At the same time, tax reductions would …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604793

Fiscal consolidation in the euro area: long-run benefits and short-run costs.

Coenen, Günter; Mohr, Matthias; Straub, Roland - 2008

In this paper, we examine the macroeconomic effects of alternative fiscal consolidation policies in the New Area-Wide Model (NAWM), a two-country open-economy model of the euro area developed at the European Central Bank (cf. Coenen et al., 2007). We model fiscal consolidation as a permanent...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604948

Globalisation and the euro area: simulation based analysis using the New Area Wide Model

Straub, Roland; Jacquinot, Pascal - 2008

labour markets would amplify the benefits associated with globalisation. …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604953

Fiscal policy shocks in the euro area and the US: an empirical assessment

Burriel, Pablo; de Castro Fernández, Francisco; … - 2009

We analyse the impact of fiscal policy shocks in the euro area as a whole, using a newly available quarterly dataset of fiscal variables for the period 1981-2007. To allow for comparability with previous results on euro area countries and the US, we use a standard structural VAR framework, and...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605179

Have euro area and EU economic governance worked? Just the facts

Ioannou, Demosthenes; Stracca, Livio - 2011

We test whether two key elements of the EU and euro area economic governance framework, the Stability and Growth Pact and the Lisbon Strategy, have had any impact on macroeconomic outcomes. We test this proposition using a difference-in-difference approach on a panel of over 30 countries, some...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605390

Fiscal policy and the 'Great Recession' in the euro area

Coenen, Günter; Straub, Roland; Trabandt, Mathias - 2012

How much did fiscal policy contribute to euro area real GDP growth during the Great Recession? We estimate that discretionary fiscal measures have increased annualized quarterly real GDP growth during the crisis by up to 1.6 percentage points. We obtain our result by using an extended version of...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605474

Gauging the effects of fiscal stimulus packages in the euro area

Coenen, Günter; Straub, Roland; Trabandt, Mathias - 2012

We seek to quantify the impact on euro area GDP of the European Economic Recovery Plan (EERP) enacted in response to the financial crisis of 2008-09. To do so, we estimate an extended version of the ECB’s New Area-Wide Model with a richly specified fiscal sector. The estimation results point...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605528

Fiscal reaction function and fiscal fatigue: Evidence for the euro area

Checherita-Westphal, Cristina; Žďárek, Václav - 2017

This paper estimates a fiscal reaction function (FRF) framework for euro area countries and derives a novel approach to measure fiscal fatigue. As in previous studies, we find evidence that euro area sovereigns abide, on average, by (weak) sustainability constraints. The primary balance improves...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011667204