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The Coronavirus and the Great Influenza Epidemic - Lessons from the 'Spanish Flu' for the Coronavirus's Potential Effects on Mortality and Economic Activity

Barro, Robert J. - 2020

.0 percent of world population, implying 150 million deaths when applied to current population. Regressions with annual …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012839262

Hoarding of International Reserves : Mrs Machlup's Wardrobe and the Joneses

Cheung, Yin-Wong; Qian, Xingwang - 2021

Motivated by the observed international reserve hoarding behavior in the post-1997 crisis period, we explore the Mrs Machlup's wardrobe hypothesis and the related keeping-up-with-the-Joneses argument. It is conceived that, in addition to psychological reasons, holding a relatively high level of...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013316903

A new approach to bootstrap inference in functional coefficient models

Herwartz, Helmut; Xu, Fang - 2007

We introduce a new, factor based bootstrap approach which is robust under heteroskedastic error terms for inference in functional coefficient models. Modeling the functional coefficient parametrically, the bootstrap approximation of an F statistic is shown to hold asymptotically. In simulation...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010296279

Modelling the Fisher hypothesis: World wide evidence

Herwartz, Helmut; Reimers, Hans-Eggert - 2006

In this paper we follow an empirical approach to examine the implications of the Fisher hypothesis, namely cointegration linking interest rates and inflation, and stationarity of the real interest rate implying in turn homogeneity of the potential equilibrium relation. The considered sample is...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010296257

A functional coefficient model view of the Feldstein-Horioka puzzle

Herwartz, Helmut; Xu, Fang - 2007

What does the saving-investment (SI) relation really measure and how should the (SI) relation be measured? These are two of the most discussed issues triggered by the so called Feldstein-Horioka puzzle. Based on panel data we introduce a new variant of functional coefficient models that allow to...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010296278

Exploring the intensive and extensive margins of world trade

Felbermayr, Gabriel J.; Kohler, Wilhelm K. - 2004

World trade evolves at two margins. Where a bilateral trading relationship already exists it may increase through time … have not traded with each other in the past (extensive margin). We provide an empirical dissection of post-World-War- II … growth in manufacturing world trade along these two margins. We propose a ?cornersolutions- version? of the gravity model to …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010274453

Hoarding of international reserves: Mrs Machlup's wardrobe and the joneses

Cheung, Yin-Wong; Qian, Xingwang - 2007

Motivated by the observed international reserve hoarding behavior in the post-1997 crisis period, we explore the Mrs Machlup's wardrobe hypothesis and the related keeping up with the Joneses argument. It is conceived that, in addition to psychological reasons, holding a relatively high level of...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010276301

A high-low model of daily stock price ranges

Cheung, Yan-Leung; Cheung, Yin-Wong; Wan, Alan Tze Kin - 2008

We observe that daily highs and lows of stock prices do not diverge over time and, hence, adopt the cointegration concept and the related vector error correction model (VECM) to model the daily high, the daily low, and the associated daily range data. The in-sample results attest the importance...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010277079

Natural disasters and the effect of trade on income: A new panel IV approach

Felbermayr, Gabriel J.; Gröschl, Jasmin - 2011

Does trade openness cause higher GDP per capita? Since the seminal instrumental variables (IV) estimates of Frankel and Romer [F&R](1999) important doubts have surfaced. Is the correlation spurious and driven by omitted geographical and institutional variables? In this paper, we generalize F&R's...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010277354

Semiparametric Approaches to the Prediction of Conditional Correlation Matrices in Finance

Herwartz, Helmut; Golosnoy, Vasyl - 2007

We consider the problem of ex-ante forecasting conditional correlation patterns using ultra high frequency data. Flexible semiparametric predictors referring to the class of dynamic panel and dynamic factor models are adopted for daily forecasts. The parsimonious set up of our approach allows to...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010296287