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In January 1995, U.S. President Bill Clinton organized a bailout for Mexico that imposed penalty interest rates and … Central Bank, and International Monetary Fund) organize similar bailouts for the troubled countries in the Eurozone? Our … analysis suggests that debt levels are so high that bailouts with penalty interest rates could induce the Eurozone governments …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013058257
The European Monetary Union is stuck in a severe balance-of-payments imbalance of a nature similar to the one that destroyed the Bretton Woods System. Greece, Ireland, Portugal, Spain and Italy have suffered from balance-of-payments deficits whose accumulated value, as measured by the Target...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013118098
. Calibrated to Eurozone data, the model is consistent with key long-run and debt-crisis statistics. Defaults are rare (1.2 percent …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012910653
A large literature has developed quantitative versions of the Eaton and Gersovitz (1981) model to analyze default episodes on external debt. In this paper, we study whether the same framework can be applied to the analysis of debt crises in which domestic public debt plays a prominent role. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012911701
We analyze the determinants and the long-run consequences of government interventions in the eurozone banking sector … an econometric approach that addresses the endogeneity associated with governmental bailout decisions in identifying …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013295279
Greater financial integration between core and peripheral EMU members not only had an effect on both sets of countries but also spilled over beyond the euro area. Lower interest rates allowed peripheral countries to run bigger deficits, which inflated their economies by allowing credit booms....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013055510
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011522584
What determines the sustainability of sovereign debt? We develop a model where myopic governments seek popularity but can nevertheless commit credibly to service external debt. They do not default when debt is low because they would lose access to debt markets and be forced to reduce spending;...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013119044
In this essay we review the empirical literature about sovereign debt and default. As we survey the work of economists, historians, and political scientists, we also emphasize parallel developments by theorists and recommend steps to improve the correspondence between theory and data
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013085914
This paper shows that whether or not a sovereign can borrow to smooth consumption depends both on how consumption smoothing is achieved, whether by contingent debt issuance or by contingent debt servicing, and on the exact nature of the penalty for debt repudiation. If a sovereign that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012774949