Unemployment recoveries in the US have been inexorable. It is a remarkable fact that, prior to 2020, after unemployment … reached its peak in a recession, and a recovery began, the annual reduction in the unemployment rate was stable at around 0 … crisis intervenes, unemployment continues to glide down to its minimum level of approximately 3.5 percentage points. The …

We propose that the natural rate of unemployment has an active role in the business cycle, in contrast to the … Phillips-curve framework of low---often extremely low---response of inflation to unemployment could be the result of fairly … most Phillips-curve studies, that conclude that inflation has little relation to unemployment. We suggest that the flat …