Showing 1 - 10 of 525
Is there a trade-off between fluctuations and growth? The empirical evidence is mixed, with some studies (Kormendi and Meguire (1985)) finding a positive relationship, while others (Ramey and Ramey (1995)) finding the a negative one. Our objective in this paper is to understand how fundamental...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471733
We study the effect of releasing public information about productivity or monetary shocks when agents learn from nominal prices. While public releases have the benefit of providing new information, they can have the cost of reducing the informational efficiency of the price system. We show that,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012464392
Monetary policy shocks have a large impact on stock returns in narrow windows around press releases by the Federal Reserve. We use spatial autoregressions to decompose the overall effect of monetary policy shocks into a direct effect and an indirect (network) effect. We attribute 50%-85% of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012455257
At the zero lower bound, the central bank's inability to offset shocks endogenously generates volatility. In this setting, an increase in uncertainty about future shocks causes significant contractions in the economy and may lead to non-existence of an equilibrium. The form of the monetary...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012456833
react in opposite directions to a shock to the real economy, and the response of inflation to uncertainty shocks vary across …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012458071
If firms purchase capital up to the point where there is no further marginal benefit, and the firms' securities are equal in value to the capital, then the market value of securities measures the quantity of capital. I explore the implications of this hypothesis using data from U.S. non-farm,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471608
This paper studies the effect of policy uncertainty on the formation of new activities in Romer's (1994) type of an economy, where productivity of labor increases with the number of capital goods. Adding a new capital good requires a capital specific set-up cost, invested prior to using the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012473003
Recent literature has highlighted the importance of new activities in development and growth. It was shown that trade distortions such as tariffs are associated with first-order costs stemming from the induced drop in the formation of new activities. This paper demonstrates that uncertainty may...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012473852
activity to a financial uncertainty shock during the great recession. We replicate this evidence with an estimated DSGE … real activity of an uncertainty shock under different Taylor rules estimated with normal times vs. great recession data … (the latter associated with a stronger response to output). We find that the uncertainty shock-induced output loss …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012822498
following a large real (non-financial) shock; and (ii) demonstrate the effectiveness of Large Scale Asset Purchases (LSAPs) in … addressing these contractions. The key mechanism stems from heterogeneous risk tolerance: as a recessionary shock hits the … Covid-19 shock and the large response by all the major central banks provide a vivid illustration of the environment we seek …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012482001