Showing 1 - 10 of 17
capture, and then protect, these rents leads to the creation of new distortions, even as the reform process tries to move … governments throughout the economy sought to capture these rents by developing high margin industries. Continued reform, and …, leading local governments to impose a variety of interregional barriers to trade. Thus, the reform process led to the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012470915
An extensive literature has studied lobbying by special interest groups. We analyze a novel lobbying channel: lobbying … politically motivated spenders of similar magnitude, stressing the economic importance of this lobbying channel. These findings …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012458897
Current surpluses in the U.S. have been achieved by a combination of a strong economy, low interest rates, and sharp cuts in defence spending. These surpluses follow a period (the eighties) of rather exceptional budget deficits. This paper investigates the origin, size, and expected future...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471280
The budget dispute between Italy and the European Commission in 2018 gave new impetus for the debate about the reliability of output gap estimation methods and their use for calculating structural budget balances. In this paper we review the main properties of the mainstream approaches and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013243245
An earlier paper by the author investigated the quantitative implications, for the effectiveness of fiscal and monetary policies, of a model treating the determination of long-term interest rates by explicitly imposing the market clearing equilibrium condition that the quantity of bonds issued...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012478225
We analyze the conduct of fiscal policy in a financially integrated union in the presence of financial frictions. Frictions create a wedge between the return to investment and the union interest rate. This leads to an over-spending externality. While the social cost of spending is the return to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012481134
How high can public debt rise without compromising fiscal solvency? We answer this question using a stochastic ability-to-pay model of sovereign default in which risk-neutral investors lend to a government that displays "fiscal fatigue," because its ability to increase primary balances cannot...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012461875
We develop a method for identifying and quantifying the fiscal channels that help finance government spending shocks. We define fiscal shocks as surprises in defense spending and show that they are more precisely identified when defense stock data are used in addition to aggregate macroeconomic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462199
The intertemporal budget constraint of the government implies a relationship between a ratio of current liabilities to the primary deficit with future values of inflation, interest rates, GDP and narrow money growth and changes in the primary deficit. This relationship defines a natural measure...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012466007
In the context of several examples of problems associated with present budgetary conventions, I revisit Musgrave's conceptual division of the government's program into Allocation, Distribution and Stabilization Branch subbudgets. I suggest progress towards Musgrave's ideal of a more informative...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012470218