Showing 1 - 10 of 11
How does competition affect information acquisition of firms and thus the response of inflation and output to monetary … uncertainty about inflation as a non-targeted moment …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012836931
We examine partisan bias in inflation expectations. Our dataset includes inflation expectations of the New York Fed …'s Survey of Consumer Expectations over the period June 2013 to June 2018. The results show that inflation expectations were 0 …. Compared to inflation expectations in Democratic-dominated states, inflation expectations in Republican-dominated states …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012860297
This paper investigates the predictive power of the shadow rate for the inflation rate in countries with a zero lower … parameters we compare the out-of-sample forecasting performance of an inflation model including a shadow rate interaction term … inflation rate are evaluated. The models including the shadow rate interaction term are found to outperform the benchmark ones …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013292499
Central bank independence (CBI) is a very important precondition for price stability. However, the empirical evidence for a correlation between both is relatively weak. In this paper, this weakness is countered with a) an extended measure of monetary commitment, which includes well-known...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013317032
same inflation or interest rate expectations can differently assess whether the level of the corresponding variable is … and affects durable spending and saving decisions. We also show that the variation in inflation preferences can be …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013293855
This paper analyses the determinants of short-term inflation expectations based on surveys of professionals, using … dynamic cross-country panel estimation for a large number of 34 OECD economies. We find that food consumer price inflation and … depreciations of the domestic exchange rate have significant positive effects on professionals’ survey-based inflation expectations …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013309489
We study the effects of professionals’ survey-based inflation expectations on inflation for a large number of 36 OECD … economies, using dynamic cross-country panel estimation of New-Keynesian Phillips curves. We find that inflation expectations … have a significantly positive effect on inflation. We also find that the effect of inflation expectations on inflation is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013311706
inflation and rising inflation expectations for years to come. We show that these concerns have been overstated. A $100 oil … scenario of the type discussed by many observers, would only briefly raise monthly headline inflation, before fading rather … quickly. However, the short-run effects on headline inflation would be sizable. For example, on a year-over-year basis …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013312058
We study the effects of forward-looking communication in an environment of rising inflation rates on German consumers …’ inflation expectations using a randomized control trial. We show that information about rising inflation increases short- and … long-term inflation expectations. This initial increase in expectations can be mitigated using forward-looking information …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014358863
expected inflation and decreases (increases) reported past (expected) inflation. Income, education, gender, objective and … that time, which supports the ‘impressionable years’ hypothesis based on different inflation experiences …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014346253