Showing 1 - 9 of 9
In this paper we investigate the effects of central bank interventions (CBI) in a noise trading model with chartists and fundamentalists. We first estimate a model in which chartists extrapolate past returns and fundamentalists forecast a mean reverting dynamics of the exchange rate towards a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010261316
We analyze the similarities and the differences in the fragility of the European Monetary system (EMS) and the Eurozone … foreign exchange markets while in the Eurozone it was the absence of a lender of last resort in the long-term government bond … Eurozone the roles were reversed. The national central banks that became part of the Eurosystem were strengthened. This came at …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010328861
We analyse the use of current and forward-looking data in the setting of monetary policy (Taylor rule). We answer the question of whether the use of forward-looking data is to be preferred over the use of current data. We use a behavioural macroeconomic model that generates periods of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013249662
In this paper we provide empirical evidence documenting the nature of the Eurozone's fragility. We find that during … periods of turmoil, financial markets have tended to impose strong programs of austerity on member countries of the Eurozone … present in the Eurozone. Our policy conclusion is that the institutional changes that have been introduced in the Eurozone …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010480830
In this paper we suggest that Eurozone countries face a policy trade-off among: 1) a common rule imposing co … conclude that the intense fiscal rules that have been introduced in the Eurozone after the emergence of the debt crisis reduced …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010531865
We test the hypothesis that the government bond markets in the Eurozone are more fragile and more susceptible to self … countries in the Eurozone during 2010-11 was disconnected from underlying increases in the debt to GDP ratios and fiscal space … argue that this can drive member countries of the Eurozone into bad equilibria. We also find evidence that after years of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010282067
self-fulfilling multiple equilibria arise. I analyze the implications of this fragility for the governance of the Eurozone …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010285539
This paper investigates the relationship between the euro-dollar exchange rate and its underlying fundamentals. First, we develop a simple theoretical model in which chartists and fundamentalists interact. This model predicts the existence of different regimes, and thus nonlinearities in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010261347
There is a wide consensus that the existence of structural rigidities in the Eurozone reduces the effectiveness of the … monetary policies in the US and the Eurozone countries. This consists in collecting the estimated transmission coefficients …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010276746