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Does Financial Inclusion Enhance per Capita Income in the Least Developed Countries?

Afonso, António; Blanco-Arana, M. Carmen - 2024

Financial inclusion is a key factor for economic growth in most developing countries. This paper examines the relationship between financial inclusion and Gross Domestic Product (GDP) per capita in the Least Developed Countries (LDCs) using panel data for the period 1990-2021. The empirical...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014534365

"Whatever it takes" to Resolve the European Sovereign Debt Crisis? Bond Pricing Regime Switches and Monetary Policy Effects

Afonso, António; Arghyrou, Michael G.; Gadea, María … - 2017

This paper investigates the role of unconventional monetary policy as a source of time-variation in the relationship between sovereign bond yield spreads and their fundamental determinants. Our results provide evidence of a new bond-pricing regime following the announcement of the Outright...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011744997

Uncertainty and Economic Activity: A Global Perspective

Cesa-Bianchi, Ambrogio; Pesaran, M. Hashem; Rebucci, … - 2014

The 2007-2008 global financial crisis and the subsequent anemic recovery have rekindled academic interest in quantifying the impact of uncertainty on macroeconomic dynamics based on the premise that uncertainty causes economic activity to slow down and contract. In this paper, we study the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010352410

Short and long-run behaviour of long-term sovereign bond yields

Afonso, António - 2010

This study assesses the short and long-run behaviour of long-term sovereign bond yields in OECD countries, for the period 1973-2008. We employ a dynamic panel approach to reflect financial and economic integration, and to increase the performance and accuracy of the tests. Given the existence of...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010274743

Financial, Institutional, and Macroeconomic Determinants of Cross-Country Portfolio Equity Flows

Afonso, António; Alves, José; Beck, Krzysztof; … - 2022

We consider a new dataset that provides a description of the population of financial equity flows between developed countries from 2001 to 2018. We follow the standard practice of controlling for pull and push factors as well as gravity-style variables, while also accounting for the business...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013353484

Determinants of Stock Market Correlation. Accounting for Model Uncertainty and Reverse Causality in a Large Panel Setting

Afonso, António; Beck, Krzysztof; Jackson, Karen - 2022

We examine 22 determinants of stock market correlations in a panel setting with 651 country pairs of developed economies over the 2001-2018 period, while accounting for model uncertainty and reverse causality. On the one hand, we find, that a number of determinants, well established in the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013427742

A Tale of Government Spending Efficiency and Trust in the State

Afonso, António; Jalles, João Tovar; Venâncio, Ana - 2022

This paper empirically links the efficiency and performance assessment of the general government, proxied by efficiency scores, to the trust in government. Government spending efficiency scores are first computed via data envelopment analysis (DEA). Then, relying on panel data and instrumental...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013470334

Uncertainty and Economic Activity: A Multi-Country Perspective

Cesa-Bianchi, Ambrogio; Pesaran, M. Hashem; Rebucci, … - 2018

Measures of economic uncertainty are countercyclical, but economic theory does not provide definite guidance on the direction of causation between uncertainty and the business cycle. This paper proposes a new multi-country approach to the analysis of the interaction between uncertainty and...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011815803

Econometric Issues in the Analysis of Contagion

Pesaran, M. Hashem; Pick, Andreas - 2004

This paper presents a canonical, econometric model of contagion and investigates the conditions under which contagion … the solution is not unique, and for sufficiently large values of the contagion coefficients it has interesting bifurcation … contagion effects in the presence of inter-dependencies the equations for the individual markets or countries must contain …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010315922