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Global and regional spillovers in emerging stock markets : a multivariate GARCH-in-mean analysis

Beirne, John; Caporale, Guglielmo Maria; … - 2009

This paper examines global (mature market) and regional (emerging market) spillovers in local emerging stock markets. Tri-variate VAR GARCH(1,1)-in-mean models are estimated for 41 emerging market economies (EMEs) in Asia, Europe, Latin America, and the Middle East. The models capture a range of...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010265964

Stock market integration between three CEECs, Russia and the UK

Caporale, Guglielmo Maria; Spagnolo, Nicola - 2010

Russia. The adopted framework allows to analyse interdependence by estimating volatility spillovers, and also contagion by … evidence on possible changes in the transmission mechanism (namely, on whether there is contagion) can be obtained by examining … spillovers between the three CEECs considered and the UK (contagion). …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010270472

Cyber Attacks, Spillovers and Contagion in the Cryptocurrency Markets

Caporale, Guglielmo Maria; Kang, Woo-Young; Spagnolo, Fabio - 2020

and volatilities (contagion). More precisely, cyber attacks appear to strengthen cross-market linkages, thereby reducing …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012227664

Macro News and Stock Returns in the Euro Area: A VAR-GARCH-in-Means Analysis

Caporale, Guglielmo Maria; Spagnolo, Fabio; Spagnolo, Nicola - 2014

This paper analyses the effects of newspaper coverage of macro news on stock returns in eight countries belonging to the euro area (Belgium, France, Germany, Greece, Ireland, Italy, Portugal and Spain) using daily data for the period 1994-2013. The econometric analysis is based on the estimation...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010398545

Macro News and Bond Yield Spreads in the Euro Area

Caporale, Guglielmo Maria; Spagnolo, Fabio; Spagnolo, Nicola - 2014

This paper analyses the effects of newspaper coverage of macro news on the spread between the yield on the 10-year German Bund and on sovereign bonds in eight countries belonging to the euro area (Belgium, France, Greece, Ireland, Italy, the Netherlands, Portugal and Spain) using daily data for...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010420726

Financial integration in the GCC region: market size versus national effects

Arin, Kerim Peren; Caporale, Guglielmo Maria; Kyriacou, … - 2019

This paper examines financial spillovers between the four largest equity markets (by market capitalization) in the GCC region using a VAR-GARCH (1,1) framework that sheds light on interdependence as well as the effects of the 2014 oil crisis. Since the UAE is a federation including two stock...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012052792

The Covid-19 Pandemic, Policy Responses and Stock Markets in the G20

Caporale, Guglielmo Maria; Kang, Woo-Young; Spagnolo, Fabio - 2021

This paper analyses the impact of the Covid-19 pandemic on stock market returns and their volatility in the case of the G20 countries. In contrast to the existing empirical literature, which typically focuses only on either Covid-19 deaths or lockdown policies, our analysis is based on a...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012658005

Exchange Rates and Macro News in Emerging Markets

Caporale, Guglielmo Maria; Spagnolo, Fabio; Spagnolo, Nicola - 2016

This paper uses a VAR-GARCH(1,1) model to analyse mean and volatility spillovers between macro news (in the form of newspaper headlines) and the exchange rates vis-avis both the US dollar and the euro of the currencies of a group of emerging countries including the Czech Republic, Hungary,...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011451426

Does Financial Inclusion Enhance per Capita Income in the Least Developed Countries?

Afonso, António; Blanco-Arana, M. Carmen - 2024

Financial inclusion is a key factor for economic growth in most developing countries. This paper examines the relationship between financial inclusion and Gross Domestic Product (GDP) per capita in the Least Developed Countries (LDCs) using panel data for the period 1990-2021. The empirical...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014534365

"Whatever it takes" to Resolve the European Sovereign Debt Crisis? Bond Pricing Regime Switches and Monetary Policy Effects

Afonso, António; Arghyrou, Michael G.; Gadea, María … - 2017

This paper investigates the role of unconventional monetary policy as a source of time-variation in the relationship between sovereign bond yield spreads and their fundamental determinants. Our results provide evidence of a new bond-pricing regime following the announcement of the Outright...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011744997