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Reasons for the Demise of Interest : Savings Glut and Secular Stagnation or Central Bank Policy?

Schnabl, Gunther - 2019

for the future (global savings glut). Low growth is linked to slowing population growth and a declining marginal …, from the perspective of Austrian business cycle theory, interest rates were step by step decreased by central banks to … nihilo and the need of time to produce capital invalidates the IS identity assumed in the Keynesian theory to hold …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012858697

Uncertainty and Monetary Policy During Extreme Events

Pellegrino, Giovanni - 2020

How damaging are uncertainty shocks during extreme events such as the great recession and the Covid-19 outbreak? Can monetary policy limit output losses in such situations? We use a nonlinear VAR framework to document the large response of real activity to a financial uncertainty shock during...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012822498

Market-Based Monetary Policy Uncertainty

Bauer, Michael - 2019

This paper investigates the role of monetary policy uncertainty for the transmission of FOMC actions to financial markets using a novel model-free measure of uncertainty based on derivative prices. We document a systematic pattern in monetary policy uncertainty over the course of the FOMC...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012871021

Uncertainty and Monetary Policy During the Great Recession

Pellegrino, Giovanni; Castelnuovo, Efrem; Caggiano, Giovanni - 2021

We employ a nonlinear VAR framework and a state-of-the-art identification strategy to document the large response of real activity to a financial uncertainty shock during and in the aftermath of the great recession. We replicate this evidence with an estimated DSGE framework featuring a concept...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013235107

Does U.S. Monetary Policy Respond to Macroeconomic Uncertainty?

Gomez, Thomas; Piccillo, Giulia - 2023

We find that macroeconomic uncertainty plays a significant role in U.S. monetary policy. First, we construct a measure of uncertainty as felt by policymakers at the time of making their rate-setting decisions. This measure is derived from a real-time, Bayesian estimation of a small monetary VAR...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014357029

The Fiscal Theory of the Price Level with a Bubble

Brunnermeier, Markus K. - 2020

-form solutions in which idiosyncratic risk on capital returns depresses the interest rate on government bonds below the economy …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012834354

Optimal Policy Under Dollar Pricing

Egorov, Konstantin - 2020

Recent empirical evidence shows that most international prices are sticky in dollars. This paper studies the optimal policy implications of this fact in the context of an open economy model, allowing for an arbitrary structure of asset markets, general preferences and technologies, time-or...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012834360

Robustly Optimal Monetary Policy in a New Keynesian Model with Housing

Adam, Klaus - 2020

We analytically characterize optimal monetary policy for an augmented New Keynesian model with a housing sector. With rational private sector expectations about housing prices and inflation, optimal monetary policy can be characterized by a standard 'target criterion' that refers to inflation...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012840227

Micro Jumps, Macro Humps : Monetary Policy and Business Cycles in an Estimated Hank Model

Auclert, Adrien - 2020

We estimate a Heterogeneous-Agent New Keynesian model with sticky household expectations that matches existing microeconomic evidence on marginal propensities to consume and macroeconomic evidence on the impulse response to a monetary policy shock. Our estimated model uncovers a central role for...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012842965

Financial Cycles, Credit Bubbles and Stabilization Policies

Corrado, Luisa - 2019

This paper analyzes the effects of several policy instruments to mitigate financial bubbles generated in the banking sector. We augment a New Keynesian macroeconomic framework by endogenizing boundedly-rational expectations on asset values of loan portfolios and allow for interbank trading. We...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012892165