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Earnings Dynamics in Germany
Pessoa, Ana Sofia - 2021
transitions between labor status or jobs, whereas for those at the top, earnings changes are mainly induced by wage rate growth …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013224084
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Cyclical Income Risk in Great Britain
Angelopoulos, Konstantinos - 2019
This paper establishes new evidence on the cyclical behaviour of household income risk in Great Britain and assesses the role of social insurance policy in mitigating against this risk. We address these issues using the British Household Panel Survey (1991-2008) by decomposing stochastic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012872060
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Inequality and Income Dynamics in Germany
Drechsel-Grau, Moritz; Peichl, Andreas; Schmieder, … - 2022
We provide a comprehensive analysis of income inequality and income dynamics for Germany over the last two decades. Combining personal income tax and social security data allows us — for the first time — to offer a complete picture of the distribution of annual earnings in Germany. We find...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013298363
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Biased Expectations and Labor Market Outcomes : Evidence from German Survey Data and Implications for the East-West Wage Gap
Balleer, Almut; Duernecker, Georg; Forstner, Susanne; … - 2023
income in East Germany. The bias difference in labor market expectations explains part of the East-West German wage gap …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014358858
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Short-Time Work and Precautionary Savings
Gehrke, Britta; Dengler, Thomas - 2022
In the Covid-19 crisis, most OECD countries have used short-time work (subsidized working time reductions) to preserve employment relationships. This paper studies whether short-time work can save jobs through stabilizing aggregate demand in recessions. First, we show that the consumption risk...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014079142
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Wage Risk and the Skill Premium
Slavík, Ctirad - 2020
, individual wage risk has also increased. This paper proposes a mechanism through which a rise in wage risk increases the skill … premium. Intuitively, a rise in uninsured wage risk increases precautionary savings, thereby boosting capital accumulation … that the rise in wage risk observed between 1967 and 2010 increases the skill premium significantly. This finding is robust …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012824576
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Distributional Effects of Macroeconomic Shocks in Real-Time : A Novel Method Applied to the COVID-19 Crisis in Germany
Bruckmeier, Kerstin; Peichl, Andreas; Popp, Martin; … - 2021
The highly dynamic nature of the COVID-19 crisis poses an unprecedented challenge to policy makers around the world to take appropriate income-stabilizing countermeasures. To properly design such policy measures, it is important to quantify their effects in real-time. However, data on the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013250264
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Uncertainty, Skewness, and the Business Cycle Through the Midas Lens
Castelnuovo, Efrem; Mori, Lorenzo - 2022
We employ a mixed-frequency quantile regression approach to model the time-varying conditional distribution of the US real GDP growth rate. We show that monthly information on the US financial cycle improves the predictive power of an otherwise quarterly-only model. We combine selected quantiles...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014242149
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Macroeconomic Responses to Uncertainty Shocks: The Perils of Recursive Orderings
Kilian, Lutz; Plante, Michael D.; Richter, Alexander W. - 2022
A common practice in empirical macroeconomics is to examine alternative recursive orderings of the variables in structural vector autogressive (VAR) models. When the implied impulse responses look similar, the estimates are considered trustworthy. When they do not, the estimates are used to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014290031
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Economic Uncertainty and Fertility
Gozgor, Giray; Bilgin, Mehmet Huseyin; Rangazas, Peter - 2021
In this paper, we conduct an empirical study of how uncertainty alters fertility behavior. The precautionary motive for saving predicts that an increase in income uncertainty increases saving by reducing both consumption and fertility. We examine this prediction using a new measure of economic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012582088