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On Optimal Currency Areas and Common Cycles : Are the Acceding Countries Ready to Join the Euro?

Grimm, Louisa; Steinkamp, Sven; Westermann, Frank - 2021

The former EU president Jean-Claude Junker has proposed that all countries of the European Union should also adopt the euro as their currency and recent research has shown that countries currently pursuing this goal indeed fulfill the classical Optimal Currency Area (OCA) criterion of positively...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013232406

Macroeconomic Policy Making and Current Account Imbalances in the Euro Area

Murai, Taiki; Schnabl, Gunther - 2021

The paper analyses the role of fiscal and monetary policy for the development of the current account imbalances in the euro area, including the most recent developments during the coronavirus crisis. Several financial transmission channels such as international bank lending, changes in TARGET2...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013221180

Risk Sharing in Currency Unions : The Migration Channel

Kohler, Wilhelm; Müller, Gernot J.; Wellmann, Susanne - 2021

Country-specific business cycle fluctuations are potentially very costly for member states of currency unions because they lack monetary autonomy. The actual costs depend on the extent to which consumption is shielded from these fluctuations and thus on the extent of risk sharing across member...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013235109

Designing the Policy Mix in a Monetary Union

Kempf, Hubert - 2020

This paper studies the design of the policy mix in a monetary union, that is, the institutional arrangement specifying the relationships between the various policymakers present in the union and the extent of their capacity of action. It is assumed that policymakers do not cooperate. Detailing...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012832189

Coherence of Output Gaps in the Euro Area : The Impact of the COVID-19 Shock

de Haan, Jakob; Jacobs, Jan P. A. M.; Zijm, Renske - 2022

Using the measures proposed by Mink et al. (2012), we reexamine the coherence of business cycles in the euro area using a long sample period. We also analyze the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on business cycle coherence and examine whether our measures for business cycle coherence indicate a...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013293282

Fiscal divergence and current account imbalances in Europe

Schnabl, Gunther; Wollmershäuser, Timo - 2013

Since the breakdown of the Bretton Woods System diverging current account positions in Europe have prevailed. While the Southern and Western European countries have tended to run current account deficits, the current accounts of the Central and Northern European countries, in particular Germany,...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010291505

The Euro Crisis and Economic Growth : A Novel Counterfactual Approach

Terzi, Alessio - 2019

warranted. To make this claim, this paper uses a Propensity Score Matching Model to produce counterfactuals for the Eurozone … more in the Eurozone periphery than in the standard counterfactual scenario. These results are not dictated by any specific … Eurozone's specificity, which is instead to be traced back to a sharper-than-expected contraction in investment and fiscal …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012866042

The Trade and FDI Effects of EMU Enlargement

Brouwer, J.; Paap, Richard; Viaene, Jean-Marie - 2021

This paper considers the nature and the distribution of trade and FDI effects of a potential enlargement of the European Monetary Union (EMU) to the ten countries that obtained EU membership in 2004. One-way and two-way error component gravity models are estimated using a dataset of unbalanced...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013316812

New Output Gap Estimates for Assessing Fiscal Policy with Lessons for Euro Area Reform

Oksanen, Heikki - 2019

Output gaps (OG) identify economic cycles and the cyclical and structural components in government budget balances. A new simple method for estimating OGs is presented here. The new results are more transparent than those published by the leading economic policy institutions. - The retroactive...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012892285

Reforming the Euro Pragmatically : Towards Sustainable Fiscal Policy and a Revamped Eurosystem

Oksanen, Heikki - 2019

The conflicting standpoints on reforming the euro are creating more controversies than practical results. Mistrust between the participants led to short-sighted fiscal discipline that has amplified the economic disturbances. Expert analysis on the proposed reforms is often deficient as the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012860367

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