Showing 1 - 10 of 81
such as unemployment. Previous studies indicate that monetary policy affects the output gap only at business cycle … frequencies, but the effects on unemployment may well be more persistent in countries with highly regulated labor markets. We … study the Swedish experience of unemployment and monetary policy. Using a structural VAR we find that around 30 percent of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013316967
We propose a novel identification strategy to measure monetary policy in a structural VAR. It is based exclusively on known past policy shocks, which are uncovered from high-frequency data, and does not rely on any theoretical a-priori restrictions. Our empirical analysis for the euro area...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012822501
This paper assesses time variation in monetary policy rules by applying a Time-Varying Parameter Generalised Methods of Moments (TVP-GMM) framework. Using monthly data until December 2022 for five inflation targeting countries (the UK, Canada, Australia, New Zealand, Sweden) and five countries...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014348141
Using firm-level survey data from Germany, this paper asks how do supply constraints propagate monetary policy shocks? To answer this question, we first offer a general discussion on the measurement of supply constraints. We show that capacity utilization, a widely accepted measure of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014261028
(EMU) led to lower wage growth and lower unemployment in participating countries. Following Grüner's model, monetary … national business cycles which, in turn, leads to higher unemployment risk. In order to counter-balance this effect, trade … unions lower their claims for wage mark-ups resulting in lower wage growth and lower unemployment. This paper uses …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010274904
2010-2018. Using Jordà’s (2005) local projection method, we find that unemployment rates decline in response to …. In the periphery countries, the reduction in unemployment rates is relatively pronounced, while in the core countries it …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014241612
such as unemployment. Previous studies indicate that monetary policy affects the output gap only at business cycle … frequencies, but the effects on unemployment may well be more persistent in countries with highly regulated labor markets. We … study the Swedish experience of unemployment and monetary policy. Using a structural VAR we find that around 30 percent of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010264166
We study the information flow from the ECB on policy dates since its inception, using tick data. We show that three factors capture about all of the variation in the yield curve but that these are different factors with different variance shares in the window that contains the policy decision...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012867012
We study optimal monetary policy during temporary supply contractions when aggregate demand has inertia and expansionary policy is constrained. In this environment, it is optimal to run the economy hot until supply recovers. Positive output gaps in the low-supply phase lessen the negative output...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013282457
We estimate the causal impact of countercyclical interest rates on macroeconomic outcomes in open economies. To identify countercyclical interest rates, we construct a new database of short-term interest rates, principal exports, and international commodity prices for 40 economies from 1870 to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013291318