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Uncertainty, Imperfect Information, and Expectation Formation Over the Firms's Life Cycle

Chen, Cheng - 2020

Using a long-panel dataset of Japanese firms that contains firm-level sales forecasts, we provide evidence on firm-level uncertainty and imperfect information over their life cycle. We find that firms make non-negligible and positively correlated forecast errors. However, they make more precise...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012826001

Risk Exposure and Acquisition of Macroeconomic Information

Roth, Christopher; Settele, Sonja; Wohlfart, Johannes - 2021

We conduct an experiment with a representative sample from the US to study households’ demand for macroeconomic information. Respondents who learn of a higher personal exposure to unemployment risk during recessions increase their demand for an expert forecast about the likelihood of a...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013315172

Bank Bonus Pay as a Risk Sharing Contract

Efing, Matthias - 2019

We argue that risk sharing motivates the bank-wide structure of bonus pay. In the presence of financial frictions that make external financing costly, the optimal contract between shareholders and employees involves some degree of risk sharing whereby bonus pay partially absorbs earnings shocks....

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012892088

Uncertainty and the Cost of Bank vs. Bond Finance

Grimme, Christian - 2019

How does uncertainty affect the costs of raising finance in the bond market and via bank loans? Empirically, this paper finds that heightened uncertainty is accompanied by an increase in corporate bond yields and a decrease in bank lending rates. This finding can be explained with a model that...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012892132

Strategic complementarity, fragility, and regulation

Vives, Xavier - 2011

liquidity risk and characterizes them. Both a solvency (leverage) and a liquidity ratio are required to control the … fund managers are more conservative the liquidity requirement has to be strengthened while the solvency one relaxed. Higher … financial intermediary is opaque) and, correspondingly, liquidity requirements should be tightened. The model is applied to …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010277386

How do judgmental overconfidence and overoptimism shape innovative activity?

Herz, Holger; Schunk, Daniel; Zehnder, Christian - 2013

Recent field evidence suggests a positive link between overconfidence and innovative activities. In this paper we argue that the connection between overconfidence and innovation is more complex than the previous literature suggests. In particular, we show theoretically and experimentally that...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010291552

Climate Risk and Commodity Currencies

Kapfhammer, Felix; Larsen, Vegard; Thorsrud, Leif Anders - 2021

The positive relationship between real exchange rates and natural resource income is well understood and studied. However, climate change and the transition to a lower-carbon economy now challenges this relationship. We document this by proposing a novel news media-based measure of climate...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013314753

Privacy Regulation and Quality-Enhancing Innovation

Lefouili, Yassine; Madio, Leonardo; Toh, Ying Lei - 2023

We analyze how a privacy regulation taking the form of a cap on information disclosure affects quality-enhancing innovation incentives by a monopolist—who derives revenues solely from disclosing user data to third parties—and consumer surplus. If the share of privacy-concerned users is...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014346842

Securitization of mortgage debt, asset prices and international risk sharing

Hoffmann, Mathias; Nitschka, Thomas - 2009

We explore the impact of mortgage securitization on the international diversification of macroeconomic risk. By making mortgage-related risks internationally tradeable, securitization contributes considerably to better international consumption risk sharing: we find that countries with the most...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010264540

Creating a Euro Area Safe Asset Without Mutualizing Risk (Much)

Leandro, Alvaro - 2019

This paper explains and evaluates three proposals to create "safe assets" for the euro area based on sovereign bonds, in which sovereign risk is limited through diversification and some form of seniority. These assets would be held by banks and other financial institutions, replacing...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012865169

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