Showing 1 - 8 of 8
This paper introduces a novel approach for dealing with the 'curse of dimensionality' in the case of large linear dynamic systems. Restrictions on the coefficients of an unrestricted VAR are proposed that are binding only in a limit as the number of endogenous variables tends to infinity. It is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010276215
This paper extends the cross sectionally augmented panel unit root test proposed by Pesaran (2007) to the case of a multifactor error structure. The basic idea is to exploit information regarding the unobserved factors that are shared by other time series in addition to the variable under...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010276216
This paper conducts a broad-based comparison of iterated and direct multi-step forecasting approaches applied to both univariate and multivariate models. Theoretical results and Monte Carlo simulations suggest that iterated forecasts dominate direct forecasts when estimation error is a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010276226
We propose a normative assessment of the value of international trade that is rooted in production theory and embeds Ricardo's 1817 formulation of the gains from trade into a multi-factor general equilibrium framework. Without imposing strong assumptions on consumer rationality or data from the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010283601
China keeps its exchange rate tightly fixed to the dollar. Its productivity growth and trade surplus have been high … reduce China's trade surplus but could cause serious deflation in China. To show this, we consider international adjustment … between China and the United States from both an asset-market and a labor-market perspective, and compare this to Japan …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010263911
provides an important role model for China, this paper studies the role of the yen/dollar exchange rate for Japanese monetary …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010264171
constitute long-term appreciation expectations on yuan and yen, which have made China and Japan vulnerable to U.S. interest rate … cuts and appreciation expectation shocks. For both China and Japan – at different points of time – self-fulfilling runs …, speculative bubbles and post-bubble secular stagnation. To prevent a similar scenario for China capital controls, a tighter …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011480485
The prospect of creating a currency union consisting of China, Japan, and Korea is evaluated using output data. After a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010261238