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The Brexit Conundrum Worsens the UK's Relationship with the European Union
Ryan, John T - 2019
This paper examines the shortcomings in the UK government's Brexit negotiation strategy which reflected Prime Minister Theresa May's weak political leadership. The Prime Minister focused on securing the short-term political survival of her government amidst turbulent and fractious domestic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012861473
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Arming in the Global Economy : The Importance of Trade with Enemies and Friends
Garfinkel, Michelle R. - 2019
We analyze how trade openness matters for interstate conflict over productive resources. Our analysis features a terms-of-trade channel that makes security policies trade-regime dependent. Specifically, trade between two adversaries reduces each one’s incentive to arm given the opponent’s...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012892081
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Confucius Institute, Belt and Road Initiative, and Internationalization
Wang, Hao - 2020
In this paper, we study the role of Confucius Institute in supporting internationalization of Chinese enterprises. Employing a panel dataset containing 66 Belt-Road countries and 75 non Belt-Road countries from 2006 to 2017, we find that the Confucius Institute has had a positive effect on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012826003
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The Farsighted Stability of Global Tade Policy Arrangements
Berens, Stefan; Chochua, Lasha; Willmann, Gerald - 2021
We study the stability of trade policy arrangements under two regulatory scenarios, with/without PTAs. Unlike previous papers, we consider an extensive set of trade policy constellations and allow for unlimited farsightedness of negotiating parties. We find global free trade (GFT) to be uniquely...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013217552
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Trading with the Informed and Against the Uninformed : Flows and Positioning in the Global Currency Market
Barrios, Aldo; Franolic, Robert; Giovanardi, Davide; … - 2022
FX trade settlement data from CLS provides the most comprehensive view of the opaque market of OTC currency trades. We use the flows of investment funds and non-financial corporates and develop trading signals where the former reflects speculative strategies, while the latter trade for liquidity...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014077184
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Quantifying the EU-Japan Economic Partnership Agreement
Felbermayr, Gabriel J. - 2018
This paper provides a quantitative analysis of the new EU-Japan free trade agreement (FTA), the biggest bilateral deal … that both the EU and Japan have concluded so far. It employs a generalized variant of the Eaton-Kortum (2002) model … reductions in the costs of NTBs. This approach yields long-run welfare effects for Japan of about 18 bn. USD per year (0.31% of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012908655
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Globalization in the Time of COVID-19
Sforza, Alessandro - 2020
of the disruption in production that started in China and then quickly spread across the world. We find that the COVID-19 … shock has a considerable impact on most economies in the world, especially when a share of the labor force is quarantined …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012837986
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The Falling Elasticity of Global Trade to Economic Activity : Testing the Demand Channel
Auboin, Marc - 2018
Since the recovery from the great financial crisis in 2010, global real trade flows grew much slower than pre-crisis, in both absolute terms (growth rates) and relative terms (relative to GDP, from 2:1 in the great 1990’s to 1:1 since 2012) A debate has arisen as to whether this global trade...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012908674
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The Trade Impact of the COVID-19 Pandemic
Liu, Xuepeng; Ornelas, Emanuel; Shi, Huimin - 2021
Using a gravity-like approach, we study how Covid-19 deaths and lockdown policies affected countries’ imports from China during 2020. We find that a country’s own Covid-19 deaths and lockdowns significantly reduced its imports from China, suggesting that the negative demand effects prevailed...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013224091
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Mis-Allocation within Firms : Internal Finance and International Trade
Doerr, Sebastian; Marin, Dalia; Suverato, Davide; … - 2021
This paper develops a novel theory of capital mis-allocation within firms that stems from managers’ empire building and informational frictions within the organization. Introducing an internal capital market into a two-factor model of multi-segment firms, we show that international competition...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013312862