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Economic Determinants of Regional Trade Agreements Revisited Using Machine Learning
Blöthner, Simon; Larch, Mario - 2021
While traditional empirical models using determinants like size and trade costs are able to predict RTA formation reasonably well, we demonstrate that allowing for machine detected non-linear patterns helps to improve the predictive power of RTA formation substantially. We employ machine...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013216253
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Road Capacity, Domestic Trade and Regional Outcomes
Coşar, Kerem; Demir, Banu; Ghose, Devaki; Young, Nathaniel - 2021
What is the impact on intra-national trade and regional economic outcomes when the quality and lane-capacity of an existing paved road network is expanded significantly? We investigate this question for the case of Turkey, which undertook a large-scale public investment in roads during the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013211730
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New Region, New Chances : Does Moving Regionally for University Shape Later Job Mobility?
Ehrenfried, Felix; Fackler, Thomas; Lindlacher, Valentin - 2022
The extensive literature on university graduates’ regional mobility highlights the importance of early mobility but is primarily descriptive. We contribute the identification of the effect of mobility upon high-school graduation on subsequent mobility across labour market regions. The data...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014077012
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The Global Effects of COVID-19-Induced Uncertainty
Caggiano, Giovanni - 2020
We estimate a three-variate VAR using proxies of global financial uncertainty, the global financial cycle, and world … outbreak. We predict the cumulative loss in world output one year after the uncertainty shock due to Covid-19 to be about 14% …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012834352
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Determinants of Global Value Chain Participation : Cross-Country Evidence
Fernandes, Ana M. - 2020
The past decades witnessed big changes in international trade with the rise of global value chains. Some countries, such as China, Poland, and Vietnam rode the tide, while other countries, many in the Africa region, faltered. This paper studies the determinants of participation in global value...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012834362
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Globalization in the Time of COVID-19
Sforza, Alessandro - 2020
of the disruption in production that started in China and then quickly spread across the world. We find that the COVID-19 … shock has a considerable impact on most economies in the world, especially when a share of the labor force is quarantined …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012837986
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The KOF Globalisation Index - Revisited
Gygli, Savina - 2019
We introduce the revised version of the KOF Globalisation Index, a composite index measuring globalization for every … country in the world along the economic, social and political dimension. The original index was introduced by Dreher (2006 … along the different dimensions of globalization. We also disentangle trade and financial globalization within the economic …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012892154
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The Better Route to Global Tax Coordination : Gradualism or Multilateralism?
Konrad, Kai A. - 2019
In the context of international tax coordination incomplete information is one of the well-known frictions that can lead to bargaining failure and might explain a lack of observed coordination. We consider international negotiations about tax coordination under complete and incomplete...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012892184
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Confucius Institute, Belt and Road Initiative, and Internationalization
Wang, Hao - 2020
In this paper, we study the role of Confucius Institute in supporting internationalization of Chinese enterprises. Employing a panel dataset containing 66 Belt-Road countries and 75 non Belt-Road countries from 2006 to 2017, we find that the Confucius Institute has had a positive effect on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012826003
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Globalization, Time-Preferences, and Populist Voting
Aronsson, Thomas - 2020
Societies see growing support for populist politicians who advocate an end to globalization. Our behavioral economics … model links impatience to voters' appraisals of an income shock due to globalization that is associated with short-run costs … and delayed gains. The model shows that impatient individuals may reject further globalization if they are subject to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012826005