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The Euro Area Government Spending Multiplier in Demand- and Supply-Driven Recessions

di Serio, Mario; Fragetta, Matteo; Gasteiger, Emanuel; … - 2022

We estimate government spending multipliers in demand- and supply-driven recessions for the Euro Area. Multipliers in a moderately demand-driven recession are 2-3 times larger than in a moderately supply-driven recession, with the difference between multipliers being non-zero with very high...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013292507

The Euro Area Periphery Sovereigns' Fiscal Positions and Unconventional Monetary Policy

Hülsewig, Oliver - 2020

We explore the reaction of the euro area periphery sovereigns' fiscal positions to an unconventional monetary policy shock. We estimate panel vector autoregressive (VAR) models over the period 2010-2018, and identify the shock by imposing sign restrictions. Our results suggest that the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012843420

Designing the Policy Mix in a Monetary Union

Kempf, Hubert - 2020

This paper studies the design of the policy mix in a monetary union, that is, the institutional arrangement specifying the relationships between the various policymakers present in the union and the extent of their capacity of action. It is assumed that policymakers do not cooperate. Detailing...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012832189

The Effects of Monetary Policy Surprises and Fiscal Sustainability Regimes in the Euro Area

Afonso, António; Alves, José; Ionta, Serena - 2023

We study the effect of monetary surprise shocks on real output and the price level, conditioned on different fiscal sustainability regimes in the period 2001Q4-2021Q4. First, we estimate time-varying fiscal sustainability coefficients based on Bohn’s (1998) approach through Schlicht’s (2003)...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014346445

Macroeconomic Policy Making and Current Account Imbalances in the Euro Area

Murai, Taiki; Schnabl, Gunther - 2021

The paper analyses the role of fiscal and monetary policy for the development of the current account imbalances in the euro area, including the most recent developments during the coronavirus crisis. Several financial transmission channels such as international bank lending, changes in TARGET2...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013221180

On Optimal Currency Areas and Common Cycles : Are the Acceding Countries Ready to Join the Euro?

Grimm, Louisa; Steinkamp, Sven; Westermann, Frank - 2021

The former EU president Jean-Claude Junker has proposed that all countries of the European Union should also adopt the euro as their currency and recent research has shown that countries currently pursuing this goal indeed fulfill the classical Optimal Currency Area (OCA) criterion of positively...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013232406

New Output Gap Estimates for Assessing Fiscal Policy with Lessons for Euro Area Reform

Oksanen, Heikki - 2019

Output gaps (OG) identify economic cycles and the cyclical and structural components in government budget balances. A new simple method for estimating OGs is presented here. The new results are more transparent than those published by the leading economic policy institutions. - The retroactive...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012892285

Reforming the Euro Pragmatically : Towards Sustainable Fiscal Policy and a Revamped Eurosystem

Oksanen, Heikki - 2019

The conflicting standpoints on reforming the euro are creating more controversies than practical results. Mistrust between the participants led to short-sighted fiscal discipline that has amplified the economic disturbances. Expert analysis on the proposed reforms is often deficient as the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012860367

Unconventional Monetary Policy Shocks in the Euro Area and the Sovereign-Bank Nexus

Hristov, Nikolay - 2020

We explore the effects of the ECB's unconventional monetary policy on the banks' sovereign debt portfolios. In particular, using panel vector autoregressive (VAR) models we analyze whether banks increased their domestic government bond holdings in response to non-standard monetary policy shocks,...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012838235

Central Bank Policies and Financial Markets : Lessons from the Euro Crisis

Mody, Ashoka - 2019

The European Central Bank (ECB) took many measures to combat the eurozone’s rolling financial crisis. For providing … desperately scarce dollars to eurozone banks, the ECB relied on the U.S. Federal Reserve. Using a novel econometric framework, we … October 2009 and September 2012, the most intense phase of the eurozone crisis. Dollar liquidity clearly reduced stress in …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012892183

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