Showing 1 - 10 of 322
This paper investigates the predictive power of the shadow rate for the inflation rate in countries with a zero lower … parameters we compare the out-of-sample forecasting performance of an inflation model including a shadow rate interaction term … inflation rate are evaluated. The models including the shadow rate interaction term are found to outperform the benchmark ones …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013292499
same inflation or interest rate expectations can differently assess whether the level of the corresponding variable is … and affects durable spending and saving decisions. We also show that the variation in inflation preferences can be …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013293855
We examine the extent to which government ideology has influenced monetary policy in OECD countries since the 1970s. In line with important changes in the global economy and differences across countries, regression results yield heterogeneous inferences depending on the time period and the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012890199
This paper examines the distributional implications of inflation on top income shares in 12 advanced economies using … data over the period 1920-2016. We use Local Projections to analyze how top income shares respond to an inflation shock …, and panel regressions in which all variables are defined as five-year averages to examine the impact of inflation on the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012837453
Central bank independence (CBI) is a very important precondition for price stability. However, the empirical evidence for a correlation between both is relatively weak. In this paper, this weakness is countered with a) an extended measure of monetary commitment, which includes well-known...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013317032
This study evaluates the role market competition plays in determining inflation based on sector-level data from OECD … countries. In theory, trade openness can affect inflation through changes in market competitiveness and productivity … of market competition. This study shows that inflation decreases with greater market competitiveness even after …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010280812
The recent negative interest rate policy (NIRP) and quantitative easing (QE) programme by the ECB have raised concerns about the pass-through of monetary policy. On the one hand, negative rates could lead to declining bank profitability making an expansionary monetary policy contractionary....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012892229
This paper examines the role of central bank governors in monetary policy decisions taken by a committee. To carry out this analysis, we constructed a novel dataset of committee voting behaviour for six OECD countries for up to three decades. Using a range of Taylor-rule specifications, we show...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012861451
Using data for a large sample of banks from 31 OECD countries over 1995–2018, we analyze the impact of belonging to a banking group on banks’ net interest margins. Our results confirm a positive relationship between interest rates and interest margins, which is stronger in a low-interest...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013324213
We analyse how movements in the components of sovereign bond yields in the United States affect long-term rates in 10 advanced and 21 emerging economies. The paper documents significant global spillovers from both the expectations and term premia components of long-term rates in the United...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012860570