Showing 1 - 10 of 286
In recessions, unemployment increases despite the—perhaps counterintuitive—fact that thenumber of unemployed workers … finding jobs expands. On net, unemployment rises only becauseeven more workers lose their jobs. We propose a theory of … unemployment fluctuations resting onthis countercyclicality of gross flows from unemployment into employment. In recessions …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013314859
We estimate Okun's law, the negative relationship between output and the unemployment rate, at the sector level for the … coefficients are proportional to the aggregate in all four countries. We also show that the standard deviation of unemployment is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012841145
This paper draws on household survey data from countries of all income levels to measure how average unemployment rates … vary with income per capita. We document that unemployment is increasing with GDP per capita. Furthermore, we show that … this fact is accounted for almost entirely by low-educated workers, whose unemployment rates are strongly increasing in GDP …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012892040
This paper studies the marginal product of private capital (MPK) with new data and a new framework to obtain a better understanding of international capital allocations and the Lucas Paradox (LP). Our point of departure is three influential studies of MPK's and, based on the most recently...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012861377
. Furthermore, they fail to allow for quantity rationing and to model unemployment as a catastrophic event. The macroeconomics based …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010261154
Comprehensive and international comparable leading indicators across countries and continents are rare. In this paper, we use a free and instantaneous available source of leading indicators, the ifo World Economic Survey (WES), to forecast growth of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in 44 countries...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012867868
Output gaps (OG) identify economic cycles and the cyclical and structural components in government budget balances. A new simple method for estimating OGs is presented here. The new results are more transparent than those published by the leading economic policy institutions. - The retroactive...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012892285
This paper examines the relationship between the logarithms of CO2 emissions and real GDP in China by applying fractional integration and cointegration methods. The univariate results indicate that the two series are highly persistent, their orders of integration being around 2, whilst the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012860770
The nexus between corruption and economic growth has been examined for a long time. Many empirical studies measured corruption by the reversed Transparency International's Perception of Corruption Index (CPI) and ignored that the CPI was not comparable over time. The CPI is comparable over time...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012861457
The paper contributes to the growing global VAR (GVAR) literature by showing how global and national shocks can be identified within a GVAR framework. The usefulness of the proposed approach is illustrated in an application to the analysis of the interactions between public debt and real output...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012892134