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An Unemployment Re-Insurance Scheme for the Eurozone? Stabilizing and Redistributive Effects
Dolls, Mathias - 2020
This paper develops a decomposition framework to study the importance of different stabilization channels of an unemployment re-insurance scheme for the euro area. Running counterfactual simulations based on household micro data for the period 2000–16, the paper finds that the re-insurance...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012836930
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Unconventional Monetary Policy Shocks in the Euro Area and the Sovereign-Bank Nexus
Hristov, Nikolay - 2020
We explore the effects of the ECB's unconventional monetary policy on the banks' sovereign debt portfolios. In particular, using panel vector autoregressive (VAR) models we analyze whether banks increased their domestic government bond holdings in response to non-standard monetary policy shocks,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012838235
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The Euro Area Periphery Sovereigns' Fiscal Positions and Unconventional Monetary Policy
Hülsewig, Oliver - 2020
We explore the reaction of the euro area periphery sovereigns' fiscal positions to an unconventional monetary policy shock. We estimate panel vector autoregressive (VAR) models over the period 2010-2018, and identify the shock by imposing sign restrictions. Our results suggest that the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012843420
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The Euro Exchange Rate and Germany's Trade Surplus
Hohberger, Stefan - 2019
We estimate a three-region (DE-REA-RoW) structural macroeconomic model, and we provide a counterfactual on how nominal exchange rate flexibility would have affected the German trade balance (TB) by simulating the shocks of the estimated model under a counterfactual flexible exchange rate regime....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012890627
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Private Bank Deposits and Macro/Fiscal Risk in the Euro-Area
Arghyrou, Michael - 2019
We examine the relationship between private bank deposits and macro/fiscal risk in the euro area. We test three hypotheses: First, private bank deposits relative to Germany are determined by macro/fiscal risk factors. Second, this relationship is time-varying. Third, time-variation is driven by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012891054
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57 Channels (and Nothin on) - Does TV-News on the Eurozone Affect Government Bond Yield Spreads?
Wolfinger, Julia - 2019
news shows of leading TV stations in 12 countries which include 37,859 news on the EU, on the Eurozone and on country …-specific economic issues. We find that an increasing share of news about the Eurozone reduces yield spreads, especially when the news …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012892159
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Central Bank Policies and Financial Markets : Lessons from the Euro Crisis
Mody, Ashoka - 2019
The European Central Bank (ECB) took many measures to combat the eurozone’s rolling financial crisis. For providing … desperately scarce dollars to eurozone banks, the ECB relied on the U.S. Federal Reserve. Using a novel econometric framework, we … October 2009 and September 2012, the most intense phase of the eurozone crisis. Dollar liquidity clearly reduced stress in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012892183
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Speculative Eurozone Attacks and Departure Strategies
Homburg, Stefan - 2019
This paper shows that the eurozone payment system does not effectively protect member states from speculative attacks … distributive effects of an orderly eurozone dissolution …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012892242
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International Food Commodity Prices and Missing (Dis)Inflation in the Euro Area
Peersman, Gert - 2019
This paper examines the causal effects of shifts in international food commodity prices on euro area inflation dynamics using a structural VAR model that is identified with an external instrument (i.e. a series of global harvest shocks). The results reveal that exogenous food commodity price...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012892245
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New Output Gap Estimates for Assessing Fiscal Policy with Lessons for Euro Area Reform
Oksanen, Heikki - 2019
Output gaps (OG) identify economic cycles and the cyclical and structural components in government budget balances. A new simple method for estimating OGs is presented here. The new results are more transparent than those published by the leading economic policy institutions. - The retroactive...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012892285