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Time Will Tell : Recovering Preferences When Choices are Noisy
Alós-Ferrer, Carlos - 2019
The ability to uncover preferences from choices is fundamental for both positive economics and welfare analysis. Overwhelming evidence shows that choice is stochastic, which has given rise to random utility models as the dominant paradigm in applied microeconomics. However, as is well known, it...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012892249
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Impatience and Uncertainty : Experimental Decisions Predict Adolescents' Field Behavior
Sutter, Matthias - 2011
We study risk attitudes, ambiguity attitudes, and time preferences of 661 children and adolescents, aged ten to eighteen years, in an incentivized experiment and relate experimental choices to field behavior. Experimental measures of impatience are found to be significant predictors of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013118350
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Diverse Risk Preferences and Heterogeneous Expectations in an Asset Pricing Model
Gomez, Thomas - 2020
We propose a heuristic switching model of an asset market where the agents' choice of heuristic is consistent with their individual risk aversion. They choose between a fundamentalist and a trend-following rule to form expectations about the price of a risky asset. Given their risk aversion,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012844420
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Intergenerational Risk Sharing, Pensions and Endogenous Labor Supply in General Equilibrium
Beetsma, Roel M. W. J.; Romp, Ward E.; Vos, Siert J. - 2021
In the context of a two-tier pension system, with a pay-as-you-go first tier and a fully funded second tier, we demonstrate that a system with a defined wage-indexed second tier performs strictly better than one with a defined contribution or defined real benefit second tier. The former...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013316618
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Endogenous Risk Attitudes
Netzer, Nick; Robson, Arthur J.; Steiner, Jakub; … - 2022
perception frictions. The model explains adaptive risk attitudes and probability weighting as in prospect theory and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013306853
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Eliciting Preferences for Risk and Altruism : Experimental Evidence
Gauriot, Romain; Heger, Stephanie; Slonim, Robert - 2022
jointly elicit risk preferences and preferences for altruism. Consistent with theory, we find that the standard simplifying …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014243683
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A Comparison of Regret Theory and Salience Theory for Decisions under Risk
Herweg, Fabian - 2020
Two non-transitive theories to model decision making under risk are regret theory (Loomes and Sugden, 1982, 1987) and … salience theory (Bordalo, Gennaioli, and Shleifer, 2012). While the psychological underpinning of these two approaches is … of choice behavior. We investigate the overlap between these theories and show that original regret theory (Loomes and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012850081
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Cognitive Uncertainty
Enke, Benjamin - 2019
This paper introduces a formal definition and an experimental measurement of the concept of cognitive uncertainty: people's subjective uncertainty about what the optimal action is. This concept allows us to bring together and partially explain a set of behavioral anomalies identified across four...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012857912
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Asymmetries in Risk Premia, Macroeconomic Uncertainty and Business Cycles
Görtz, Christoph - 2019
A large literature suggests that the expected equity risk premium is countercyclical. Using a variety of different measures for this risk premium, we document that it also exhibits growth asymmetry, i.e. the risk premium rises sharply in recessions and declines much more gradually during the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012858207
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Investment Responses to Tax Policy Under Uncertainty
Guceri, Irem - 2019
How does economic uncertainty affect the impact of tax policy? We exploit a natural experiment in which two very similar investment subsidies were implemented in the same country, two years apart: once during a period of economic stability, and once during a period of very high uncertainty....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012859606