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The Global Effects of COVID-19-Induced Uncertainty
Caggiano, Giovanni - 2020
We estimate a three-variate VAR using proxies of global financial uncertainty, the global financial cycle, and world … outbreak. We predict the cumulative loss in world output one year after the uncertainty shock due to Covid-19 to be about 14% …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012834352
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Optimal Policy Under Dollar Pricing
Egorov, Konstantin - 2020
rest of the world. International cooperation benefits other countries by improving global demand for dollar-invoiced goods …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012834360
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Macroeconomics and the Environment : A Selective Survey
Sen, Partha - 2020
? National income accounts do not take into account non-market activities. Some progress has been made in the theory and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012839360
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The Econometrics of Oil Market VAR Models
Kilian, Lutz - 2020
Oil market VAR models have become the standard tool for understanding the evolution of the real price of oil and its impact in the macro economy. As this literature has expanded at a rapid pace, it has become increasingly difficult for mainstream economists to understand the differences between...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012839764
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The Falling Elasticity of Global Trade to Economic Activity : Testing the Demand Channel
Auboin, Marc - 2018
Since the recovery from the great financial crisis in 2010, global real trade flows grew much slower than pre-crisis, in both absolute terms (growth rates) and relative terms (relative to GDP, from 2:1 in the great 1990’s to 1:1 since 2012) A debate has arisen as to whether this global trade...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012908674
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Simple Rules for Climate Policy and Integrated Assessment
van der Ploeg, Rick - 2018
A simple integrated assessment framework that gives rules for the optimal carbon price, transition to the carbon-free era and stranded carbon assets is presented, which highlights the ethical, economic, geophysical and political drivers of optimal climate policy. For the ethics we discuss the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012908688
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Coups, Regime Transition, and the Dynamics of Press Freedom
Bjørnskov, Christian - 2018
This paper explores the dynamics of press freedom around events that threaten or oust the incumbent regime of a country. While democracies on average grant the press more freedom, our theoretical starting point is that democracies and autocracies may have similar incentives to protect the power...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012908729
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Arming in the Global Economy : The Importance of Trade with Enemies and Friends
Garfinkel, Michelle R. - 2019
between enemies versus trade between friends to provide some evidence that is consistent with the theory …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012892081
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Inequality Undermines Democracy and Growth
Gylfason, Thorvaldur - 2019
growth across the globe. In a large sample of countries, equality in the distribution of income as measured by the World Bank … and by The Standardized World Income Inequality Database are seen to be correlated with economic diversification, the rule … in the World Values Survey, and democracy, all of which are good for growth as reflected in the purchasing power of per …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012892099
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The Better Route to Global Tax Coordination : Gradualism or Multilateralism?
Konrad, Kai A. - 2019
In the context of international tax coordination incomplete information is one of the well-known frictions that can lead to bargaining failure and might explain a lack of observed coordination. We consider international negotiations about tax coordination under complete and incomplete...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012892184