Showing 1 - 10 of 1,991
? National income accounts do not take into account non-market activities. Some progress has been made in the theory and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012839360
We propose two novel methods to "bring ABMs to the data". First, we put forward a new Bayesian procedure to estimate the numerical values of ABM parameters that takes into account the time structure of simulated and observed time series. Second, we propose a method to forecast aggregate time...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012860573
This paper introduces two co-movement measures based on the Thick Pen Transform into the macroeconomic literature: the Thick Pen Measure of Association (TPMA) as well as Multi-Thickness Thick Pen Measure of Association (MTTPMA). Both measures are non-parametric, time-varying, and flexible....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014356480
linked to the monetary policy regime. Before and after the 'Great Inflation', nominal wages moved in the same direction as … the (required) adjustment of real wages, and in the opposite direction of the price response. During the 'Great Inflation … increasing inflation volatility. Using a standard DSGE model, we show that these stylized facts, in particular the estimated …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010274983
In response to the Covid-19 pandemic, governments around the world have provided a massive fiscal and monetary stimulus. While this policy is welcome in the short run, it does not address the underlying problem in the medium and long run. The reason is that the pandemic has not given rise to a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012832196
We develop an asset-pricing model with endogenous corporate policies that explains how inflation jointly impacts real … when inflation falls. An increase in inflation has opposite effects, but with smaller magnitudes. In the cross section, the … model predicts the negative impact of inflation on real equity values is stronger for low leverage firms. We find empirical …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012892192
We examine partisan bias in inflation expectations. Our dataset includes inflation expectations of the New York Fed …'s Survey of Consumer Expectations over the period June 2013 to June 2018. The results show that inflation expectations were 0 …. Compared to inflation expectations in Democratic-dominated states, inflation expectations in Republican-dominated states …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012860297
This paper studies the implications of an increase in the price of necessities, which disproportionally hurts the poor, for optimal income taxation. Our analyses show that, when the government is utilitarian and disutility from labor supply is linear, the optimal net nominal tax schedule is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013314745
experiment of the past decade, stemming from a belief of the government that higher interest rates cause higher inflation … eventually a negative coefficient on inflation in the policy rule. In such an environment, was the exchange rate still a random … walk? Was inflation anchored? Does the “standard model” suffice to explain the broad contours of macroeconomic outcomes in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014083478
I distinguish two types of macroeconomic models. The first type are top-down models in which some or all agents are capable of understanding the whole picture and use this superior information to determine their optimal plans. The second type are bottom-up models in which all agents experience...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010272346