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We compare the causal effects of forward guidance communication about future interest rates on households' expectations of inflation, mortgage rates, and unemployment to the effects of communication about future inflation in a randomized controlled trial using more than 25,000 U.S. individuals...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012840692
Discounting has to take account of ecosystem services in consumption and production. Previous literature focuses on the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012892067
inefficient policy prescriptions and, furthermore, has the particularly undesirable consequence of incorrectly discounting future …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013215895
The arbitrage pricing theory (APT) attributes differences in expected returns to exposure to systematic risk factors …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013233142
The social rate of discount is a crucial driver of the social cost of carbon (SCC), i.e. the expected present discounted value of marginal damages resulting from emitting one ton of carbon today. Policy makers should set carbon prices to the SCC using a carbon tax or a competitive permits...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012827663
construction, are highly sensitive to the social discount rate (SDR) employed. Governmental guidance on social discounting has …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014077004
percent of mean income. In this paper we use economic theory to determine the relation between the appropriate make …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012866040
This paper studies how litigation and settlement behavior is affected by agents motivated by spiteful preferences under the American and the English fee-shifting rule. We conduct an experiment and find that litigation expenditures and settlement requests are higher for more spiteful...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014260383
-frequency interest rate changes around FOMC announcements, and consensus survey forecast errors for the ten-year Treasury yield. The …-term Treasury yields starting in late 2020. The connection between skewness, survey forecast errors, excess returns, and departures …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013222193
This note examines the stochastic behaviour of US monthly 10-year government bond yields. Specifically, it estimates a fractional integration model suitable to capture both persistence and non-linearities, these being two important properties of interest rates. Two series are analysed, one from...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013314848