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The Impacts of the Dollar-Renminbi Exchange Rate Misalignment on the China-United States Commodity Trade : An Asymmetric Analysis
Ferjani, Sabrine; Saafi, Sami; Nouira, Ridha; Rault, … - 2022
Contrary to most existing studies of the literature that assumed that the effects of real exchange rate (RE) misalignment on trade flows are symmetric, this paper considers a more general and realistic framework allowing for possible asymmetric effects. We use monthly time-series data over the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013291707
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Exchange Rate Parities and Taylor Rule Deviations
Anderl, Christina; Caporale, Guglielmo Maria - 2021
This paper investigates the PPP and UIP conditions by taking into account possible nonlinearities as well as the role of Taylor rule deviations under alternative monetary policy frameworks. The analysis is conducted using monthly data from January 1993 to December 2020 for five...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013236279
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Lending Cycles and Real Outcomes : Costs of Political Misalignment
Bircan, Cagatay; Saka, Orkun - 2021
We document a strong political cycle in bank credit and industry outcomes in Turkey. In line with theories of tactical redistribution, state-owned banks systematically adjust their lending around local elections compared with private banks in the same province based on electoral competition and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013246909
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The Eurozone as an Inflation Target Zone
Posta, Pompeo Della; Tamborini, Roberto - 2022
In the revised monetary policy strategy of the European Central Bank (ECB), “price stability is best maintained by aiming for two per cent inflation over the medium term”, with “symmetric commitment” to this target. “Symmetry means that the Governing Council considers negative and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014243104
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Purchasing power parity for developing and developed countries: what can we learn from non-stationary panel data models?
Drine, Imed; Rault, Christophe - 2008
The aim of this paper is to apply recently developed panel cointegration techniques proposed by Pedroni (1999, 2004) and generalized by Banerjee and Carrion-i-Silvestre (2006) to examine the robustness of the PPP concept for a sample of 80 developed and developing countries. We find that strong...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010264327
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Active currency investing and performance benchmarks
Melvin, Michael; Shand, Duncan - 2010
There are no established benchmarks for evaluating currency investment manager performance. Some analysts have suggested that known investing styles like momentum, purchasing power parity, and carry serve as benchmarks. Challenges for this approach include: there is no market portfolio; there...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010270471
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Exchange Rates and Consumer Prices : Evidence from Brexit
Breinlich, Holger - 2020
This paper studies how the depreciation of sterling following the Brexit referendum affected consumer prices in the United Kingdom. Our identification strategy uses input-output linkages to account for heterogeneity in exposure to import costs across product groups. We show that, after the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012844422
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Political Risk and Real Exchange Rate : What Can We Learn from Recent Developments in Panel Data Econometrics for Emerging and Developing Countries?
Bahmani‐Oskooee, Mohsen - 2019
This paper focuses on the analysis of the long-run response of the Real Exchange Rate (RER) to political risks and tests whether non-economic variables have an impact on RER in 31 emerging and developing countries. We use annual data from the International Country Risk Guide database over the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012892145
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A Jackknife Model Averaging Analysis of RMB Misalignment Estimates
Cheung, Yin-Wong - 2019
We adopt the Jackknife Model Averaging (JMA) technique to conduct a meta-regression analysis of 925 renminbi (RMB) misalignment estimates generated by 69 studies. The JMA method accounts for model selection and sampling uncertainties, and allows for non-nested model specifications and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012861432
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An Equilibrium Theory of Nominal Exchange Rates
Hagedorn, Marcus - 2021
This paper proposes an equilibrium theory of nominal exchange rates, which offers a new perspective on various issues … features of this theory are that the nominal exchange rate is determined in international financial markets, that the risk … from the nominal exchange rate. In terms of policy, this novel theory implies that a country with an exchange rate peg and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013212261