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Oil market VAR models have become the standard tool for understanding the evolution of the real price of oil and its impact in the macro economy. As this literature has expanded at a rapid pace, it has become increasingly difficult for mainstream economists to understand the differences between...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012839764
This paper examines the advantages and drawbacks of alternative methods of estimating oil supply and oil demand elasticities and of incorporating this information into structural VAR models. I not only summarize the state of the literature, but also draw attention to a number of econometric...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012822493
Baumeister and Hamilton (2019a) assert that every critique of their work on oil markets by Kilian and Zhou (2019a) is without merit. In addition, they make the case that key aspects of the economic and econometric analysis in the widely used oil market model of Kilian and Murphy (2014) and its...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012860298
This study calculates efficient taxes on gasoline and road use designed to combat driving related externalities when … motorists avoid taxes due to an excessive economic driving-style. The efficient tax on gasoline is reduced below the Pigouvian … rate due to such avoidance. The current US tax rate on gasoline is below the efficient tax rate while the current UK rate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012844204
Transport has significant externalities including carbon emissions and air pollution. Public health research has identified additional social gains from active travel, due to health benefits of physical exercise. Per mile, these benefits greatly exceed the external costs from car use. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013314801
months, starting on 1 June 2022. Using the synthetic control method to compare actual prices of gasoline and diesel to those …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014244339
competition. In this paper we provide the first empirical analysis of this relationship. We study Germany's retail gasoline market …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012824575
The conventional wisdom that inflation expectations respond to the level of the price of oil (or the price of gasoline … support for the conventional wisdom. Using a new structural vector regression model, however, we demonstrate that gasoline … explained by a large increase in gasoline prices. However, on average, gasoline price shocks account for only 39% of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012824581
We propose a new instrument for estimating the price elasticity of gasoline demand that exploits systematic differences … across U.S. states in the pass-through of oil price shocks to retail gasoline prices. We show that these differences are … primarily driven by the cost of producing and distributing gasoline, which varies with states’ access to oil and gasoline …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014358334
We investigate the role of crude oil spot and futures prices in the process of price discovery by using a cost-of-carry model with an endogenous convenience yield and daily data over the period from January 1990 to December 2008. We provide evidence that futures markets play a more important...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010270503